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La Liga | Gameweek 19
Jan 4, 2024 at 6.15pm UK
Estadio Ramon Sanchez Pizjuan
Athletic Bilbao logo

Sevilla
0 - 2
Athletic Bilbao


Sow (36'), Rakitic (75'), Marcao (86')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Vesga (30'), Paredes (76')
Garcia (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's La Liga clash between Sevilla and Athletic Bilbao, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sevilla

All competitions
La Liga
Last Game: Atletico 1-0 Sevilla
Saturday, December 23 at 3.15pm in La Liga

Athletic Bilbao

All competitions
La Liga
Last Game: Athletic Bilbao 1-0 Las Palmas
Wednesday, December 20 at 8.30pm in La Liga

We said: Sevilla 1-1 Athletic Bilbao

 While Athletic may be unbeaten in 10 competitive matches, they have had to settle for draws in their last two away games in La Liga, and we think that they will have to be content with a point when they face a Sevilla side that has drawn four of their previous five home league matches. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 39.95%. A win for Sevilla had a probability of 33.69% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.55%) and 0-2 (6.95%). The likeliest Sevilla win was 1-0 (9.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Athletic Bilbao would win this match.

Result
SevillaDrawAthletic Bilbao
33.69% (2.059 2.06) 26.35% (0.78 0.78) 39.95% (-2.837 -2.84)
Both teams to score 52.7% (-1.879 -1.88)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.03% (-2.721 -2.72)51.97% (2.722 2.72)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.29% (-2.402 -2.4)73.71% (2.404 2.4)
Sevilla Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.79% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)29.21% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.84% (-0.0059999999999931 -0.01)65.15% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Athletic Bilbao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.44% (-2.649 -2.65)25.56% (2.651 2.65)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.58% (-3.757 -3.76)60.42% (3.758 3.76)
Score Analysis
    Sevilla 33.69%
    Athletic Bilbao 39.95%
    Draw 26.35%
SevillaDrawAthletic Bilbao
1-0 @ 9.19% (0.953 0.95)
2-1 @ 7.71% (0.244 0.24)
2-0 @ 5.65% (0.585 0.59)
3-1 @ 3.16% (0.099 0.1)
3-0 @ 2.32% (0.24 0.24)
3-2 @ 2.16% (-0.1 -0.1)
4-1 @ 0.97% (0.031 0.03)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 33.69%
1-1 @ 12.53% (0.4 0.4)
0-0 @ 7.46% (0.776 0.78)
2-2 @ 5.26% (-0.243 -0.24)
3-3 @ 0.98% (-0.127 -0.13)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.35%
0-1 @ 10.18% (0.323 0.32)
1-2 @ 8.55% (-0.392 -0.39)
0-2 @ 6.95% (-0.317 -0.32)
1-3 @ 3.89% (-0.505 -0.51)
0-3 @ 3.16% (-0.41 -0.41)
2-3 @ 2.39% (-0.311 -0.31)
1-4 @ 1.33% (-0.293 -0.29)
0-4 @ 1.08% (-0.237 -0.24)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 39.95%

How you voted: Sevilla vs Athletic Bilbao

Sevilla
23.5%
Draw
22.7%
Athletic Bilbao
53.8%
132
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> Preview
Oct 8, 2022 5.30pm
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May 22, 2022 9pm
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Jordan (25'), Acuna (76'), Papu (90+5')

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> Preview
Dec 11, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 17
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> Preview
May 3, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 34
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Athletic Bilbao

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> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atletico MadridAtletico18125133122141
2Real Madrid18124241182340
3Barcelona19122551222938
4Athletic Bilbao19106329171236
5Villarreal188643430430
6Mallorca199371921-230
7Real Sociedad187471613325
8GironaGirona187472625125
9Real BetisBetis186752122-125
10Osasuna186752327-425
11Celta Vigo187382728-124
12Rayo Vallecano185762021-122
13Las PalmasLas Palmas186482327-422
14Sevilla186482027-722
15Leganes184681728-1118
16AlavesAlaves184592130-917
17Getafe183781115-416
18Espanyol1843111630-1415
19Valencia172691626-1012
20Real ValladolidValladolid1833121237-2512
> La Liga Full Table


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