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La Liga | Gameweek 18
Dec 20, 2023 at 8.30pm UK
San Mames Barria
Las Palmas

Athletic Bilbao
1 - 0
Las Palmas

Gomez (90+4')
Williams (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Araujo (38'), Perrone (68'), Cardona (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's La Liga clash between Athletic Bilbao and Las Palmas, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Athletic Bilbao

All competitions
La Liga
Last Game: Athletic Bilbao 2-0 Atletico
Saturday, December 16 at 3.15pm in La Liga

Las Palmas

All competitions
La Liga
Last Game: Las Palmas 1-1 Cadiz
Sunday, December 17 at 5.30pm in La Liga

We said: Athletic Bilbao 2-1 Las Palmas

 Although Las Palmas are currently enjoying a four-game unbeaten run, they will go up against an Athletic side that tends to perform well on home turf. With that in mind, we think that Los Leones will make full use of home advantage to edge out Las Palmas and finish the calendar year with a victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 48.62%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Las Palmas had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.28%) and 2-0 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.23%), while for a Las Palmas win it was 0-1 (8.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Athletic Bilbao in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Athletic Bilbao.

Result
Athletic BilbaoDrawLas Palmas
48.62% (0.307 0.31) 25.77% (0.286 0.29) 25.6% (-0.594 -0.59)
Both teams to score 50.08% (-1.372 -1.37)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.72% (-1.544 -1.54)53.28% (1.542 1.54)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.16% (-1.325 -1.33)74.83% (1.323 1.32)
Athletic Bilbao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.07% (-0.506 -0.51)21.93% (0.504 0.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.79% (-0.771 -0.77)55.2% (0.769 0.77)
Las Palmas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.14% (-1.335 -1.33)35.85% (1.333 1.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.37% (-1.396 -1.4)72.63% (1.395 1.4)
Score Analysis
    Athletic Bilbao 48.61%
    Las Palmas 25.61%
    Draw 25.76%
Athletic BilbaoDrawLas Palmas
1-0 @ 11.92% (0.53 0.53)
2-1 @ 9.28% (-0.051 -0.05)
2-0 @ 9.05% (0.274 0.27)
3-1 @ 4.7% (-0.098 -0.1)
3-0 @ 4.58% (0.071000000000001 0.07)
3-2 @ 2.41% (-0.142 -0.14)
4-1 @ 1.78% (-0.065 -0.07)
4-0 @ 1.74% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 0.91% (-0.068 -0.07)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 48.61%
1-1 @ 12.23% (0.11 0.11)
0-0 @ 7.86% (0.466 0.47)
2-2 @ 4.76% (-0.203 -0.2)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 25.76%
0-1 @ 8.07% (0.198 0.2)
1-2 @ 6.28% (-0.17 -0.17)
0-2 @ 4.14% (-0.048 -0.05)
1-3 @ 2.15% (-0.139 -0.14)
2-3 @ 1.63% (-0.132 -0.13)
0-3 @ 1.41% (-0.069 -0.07)
Other @ 1.94%
Total : 25.61%

How you voted: Athletic Bilbao vs Las Palmas

Athletic Bilbao
74.2%
Draw
18.2%
Las Palmas
7.6%
66
Head to Head
Feb 9, 2018 8pm
Athletic Bilbao
0-0
Las Palmas
Aduriz (12'), Saborit (51'), Arrizabalaga (52'), Garcia (77')
Navarro (12'), Calleri (41'), Macedo (59'), Chichizola (79')
Sep 17, 2017 5.30pm
Las Palmas
1-0
Athletic Bilbao
Remy (87')
Calleri (58'), Tannane (63')

Laporte (60'), Aduriz (64'), Vesga (77')
Apr 14, 2017 7.45pm
Athletic Bilbao
5-1
Las Palmas
San Jose (7'), Muniain (9', 58'), Aduriz (18', 59')
San Jose (66')
Bigas (12')
Viera (60'), Livaja (89')
Nov 28, 2016 7.45pm
Las Palmas
3-1
Athletic Bilbao
Boateng (40'), Momo (50'), Viera (90')
Mesa (55'), Livaja (58'), Viera (85')
Garcia (79' pen.)
Laporte (31'), Benat (38'), Alvarez (65'), Aduriz (74'), Garcia (87')
Aduriz (74')
May 8, 2016 4pm
Las Palmas
0-0
Athletic Bilbao
Momo (85')
Aduriz (89')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atletico MadridAtletico18125133122141
2Real Madrid18124241182340
3Barcelona19122551222938
4Athletic Bilbao19106329171236
5Villarreal188643430430
6Mallorca199371921-230
7Real Sociedad187471613325
8GironaGirona187472625125
9Real BetisBetis186752122-125
10Osasuna186752327-425
11Celta Vigo187382728-124
12Rayo Vallecano185762021-122
13Las PalmasLas Palmas186482327-422
14Sevilla186482027-722
15Leganes184681728-1118
16AlavesAlaves184592130-917
17Getafe183781115-416
18Espanyol1843111630-1415
19Valencia172691626-1012
20Real ValladolidValladolid1833121237-2512
> La Liga Full Table


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