Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reading win with a probability of 50.67%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Birmingham City had a probability of 23.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Reading win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.06%) and 1-2 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.31%), while for a Birmingham City win it was 1-0 (8.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.