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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 55.42%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Leyton Orient had a probability of 21.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.85%) and 2-0 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.92%), while for a Leyton Orient win it was 0-1 (6.05%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.
Result | ||
Bolton Wanderers | Draw | Leyton Orient |
55.42% ( -0.03) | 23.05% ( 0.01) | 21.52% ( 0.02) |
Both teams to score 53.83% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.96% ( -0.02) | 46.04% ( 0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.65% ( -0.02) | 68.35% ( 0.02) |
Bolton Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.54% ( -0.02) | 16.46% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.83% ( -0.04) | 46.16% ( 0.04) |
Leyton Orient Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.44% ( 0.01) | 35.56% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.67% ( 0.01) | 72.33% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Bolton Wanderers | Draw | Leyton Orient |
1-0 @ 10.56% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.85% ( -0) 2-0 @ 9.53% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.92% ( -0) 3-0 @ 5.73% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.06% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.67% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.58% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.38% ( -0) 5-1 @ 0.96% ( -0) 5-0 @ 0.93% ( -0) Other @ 2.24% Total : 55.42% | 1-1 @ 10.92% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.85% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.09% 3-3 @ 1.06% Other @ 0.13% Total : 23.05% | 0-1 @ 6.05% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 5.65% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.13% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.95% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.76% 0-3 @ 1.08% ( 0) Other @ 1.91% Total : 21.52% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 16 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 36 | 18 | 18 | 38 |
2 | Wrexham | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 26 | 11 | 15 | 34 |
3 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 28 | 15 | 13 | 33 |
4 | Stockport CountyStockport | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 30 |
5 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 29 |
6 | Barnsley | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 26 | 22 | 4 | 27 |
7 | Reading | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 26 | 24 | 2 | 27 |
8 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 25 | 26 | -1 | 27 |
9 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 23 | 21 | 2 | 26 |
10 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 20 | 17 | 3 | 24 |
11 | Exeter CityExeter | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 14 | 15 | -1 | 23 |
12 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 22 |
13 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 32 | 29 | 3 | 21 |
14 | Bristol Rovers | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 21 |
15 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 20 |
16 | Blackpool | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 24 | 30 | -6 | 20 |
17 | Stevenage | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 19 |
18 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 19 | 23 | -4 | 18 |
19 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 17 |
20 | Crawley TownCrawley | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 15 | 27 | -12 | 16 |
21 | Leyton Orient | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 15 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 25 | -11 | 13 |
23 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 16 | 29 | -13 | 11 |
24 | Burton Albion | 16 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 8 |
> League One Full Table |