Bolton5 - 1Harrogate
Form, Standings, Stats
Tuesday, November 28 at 7.45pm in League One
Tuesday, November 28 at 7.45pm in League Two
We said: Bolton Wanderers 2-0 Harrogate Town
Even if Evatt opts to shuffle the pack amid his side's League One title charge, a Trotters outfit who have given little away at the back in recent weeks should prove too strong for their lower-tier opponents on Saturday. Failure to score against Oxford was surely only a minor blip for Bolton, who ought to have no problem breaching the Harrogate defence on a couple of occasions to sail into round three. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 67.01%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 14.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.81%) and 1-0 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.85%), while for a Harrogate Town win it was 1-2 (4.03%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bolton Wanderers | Draw | Harrogate Town |
67.01% ( 0.21) | 18.84% ( -0.14) | 14.15% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 53.3% ( 0.33) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
