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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 53.79%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 22.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.78%) and 2-0 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.17%), while for a Plymouth Argyle win it was 0-1 (6.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Bolton Wanderers | Draw | Plymouth Argyle |
53.79% ( -0.01) | 23.57% ( -0.03) | 22.64% ( 0.05) |
Both teams to score 53.67% ( 0.17) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.01% ( 0.2) | 46.99% ( -0.2) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.77% ( 0.18) | 69.23% ( -0.18) |
Bolton Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.61% ( 0.07) | 17.39% ( -0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.19% ( 0.12) | 47.8% ( -0.12) |
Plymouth Argyle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.97% ( 0.15) | 35.03% ( -0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.22% ( 0.16) | 71.78% ( -0.16) |
Score Analysis |
Bolton Wanderers | Draw | Plymouth Argyle |
1-0 @ 10.65% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 9.78% ( 0) 2-0 @ 9.32% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 5.7% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 5.44% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.99% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.49% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.38% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.31% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.73% Total : 53.79% | 1-1 @ 11.17% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.09% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 5.13% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.05% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.13% Total : 23.56% | 0-1 @ 6.39% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 5.86% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.35% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.05% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.79% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.17% ( 0) Other @ 2.02% Total : 22.64% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 23 | 16 | 5 | 2 | 41 | 17 | 24 | 53 |
2 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 25 | 15 | 6 | 4 | 50 | 27 | 23 | 51 |
3 | Wrexham | 25 | 15 | 6 | 4 | 37 | 18 | 19 | 51 |
4 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 24 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 37 | 19 | 18 | 47 |
5 | Barnsley | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 39 | 33 | 6 | 42 |
6 | Reading | 24 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 39 | 33 | 6 | 41 |
7 | Stockport CountyStockport | 25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 37 | 27 | 10 | 38 |
8 | Leyton Orient | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 32 | 22 | 10 | 37 |
9 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 23 | 11 | 4 | 8 | 31 | 26 | 5 | 37 |
10 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 36 | 37 | -1 | 37 |
11 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 23 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 27 | 21 | 6 | 34 |
12 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 28 | 30 | -2 | 32 |
13 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 31 |
14 | Stevenage | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 31 |
15 | Exeter CityExeter | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 28 | 31 | -3 | 31 |
16 | Blackpool | 24 | 7 | 9 | 8 | 32 | 35 | -3 | 30 |
17 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 21 | 23 | -2 | 27 |
18 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 25 | 6 | 8 | 11 | 24 | 39 | -15 | 26 |
19 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 24 | 7 | 4 | 13 | 41 | 46 | -5 | 25 |
20 | Bristol Rovers | 24 | 7 | 4 | 13 | 22 | 38 | -16 | 25 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 23 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 24 | 43 | -19 | 20 |
22 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 24 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 24 | 44 | -20 | 17 |
23 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 24 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 22 | 43 | -21 | 17 |
24 | Burton Albion | 24 | 2 | 8 | 14 | 20 | 38 | -18 | 14 |
> League One Full Table |