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League One | Gameweek 38
Jan 7, 2023 at 3pm UK
University of Bolton Stadium
Plymouth Argyle

Bolton
0 - 0
Plymouth

FT

Edwards (70'), Wilson (70'), Cooper (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Bolton Wanderers and Plymouth Argyle, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Bolton Wanderers 1-2 Plymouth Argyle

This is set to be a very close and intense game between two of the strongest teams in the division that are both in great form. However, as the current league leaders Plymouth Argyle will be considered the favourites and should just have enough quality to edge this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 53.79%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 22.64%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.78%) and 2-0 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.17%), while for a Plymouth Argyle win it was 0-1 (6.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.

Result
Bolton WanderersDrawPlymouth Argyle
53.79% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01) 23.57% (-0.034000000000002 -0.03) 22.64% (0.048000000000002 0.05)
Both teams to score 53.67% (0.171 0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.01% (0.198 0.2)46.99% (-0.196 -0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.77% (0.184 0.18)69.23% (-0.182 -0.18)
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.61% (0.070999999999998 0.07)17.39% (-0.068999999999999 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.19% (0.12 0.12)47.8% (-0.119 -0.12)
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.97% (0.15300000000001 0.15)35.03% (-0.152 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.22% (0.162 0.16)71.78% (-0.16 -0.16)
Score Analysis
    Bolton Wanderers 53.79%
    Plymouth Argyle 22.64%
    Draw 23.56%
Bolton WanderersDrawPlymouth Argyle
1-0 @ 10.65% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-1 @ 9.78% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-0 @ 9.32% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-1 @ 5.7% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
3-0 @ 5.44% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.99% (0.02 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.49% (0.012 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.38% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.31% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 3.73%
Total : 53.79%
1-1 @ 11.17% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 6.09% (-0.05 -0.05)
2-2 @ 5.13% (0.023 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.05% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 23.56%
0-1 @ 6.39% (-0.026 -0.03)
1-2 @ 5.86% (0.014 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.35% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-3 @ 2.05% (0.013 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.79% (0.016 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.17% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 22.64%

How you voted: Bolton vs Plymouth

Bolton Wanderers
30.4%
Draw
21.7%
Plymouth Argyle
47.8%
23
Head to Head
Aug 27, 2022 3pm
Plymouth
2-0
Bolton
Ennis (34'), Hardie (88')
Ennis (40'), Edwards (53')

Bradley (65')
Mar 12, 2022 3pm
Oct 19, 2021 7.45pm
Plymouth
3-0
Bolton
Galloway (6'), Grant (15'), Broom (90+4')
Galloway (90+1')

Bakayoko (12'), Afolayan (50'), Lee (54')
Nov 9, 2019 3pm
First Round
Bolton
0-1
Plymouth

Murphy (31')
McFadzean (11')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham23165241172453
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe25156450272351
3Wrexham25156437181951
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield24145537191847
5Barnsley2512673933642
6Reading2412573933641
7Stockport CountyStockport25108737271038
8Leyton Orient24114932221037
9Mansfield TownMansfield2311483126537
10Bolton WanderersBolton2411493637-137
11Charlton AthleticCharlton239772721634
12Lincoln CityLincoln258892830-232
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham248792424031
14Stevenage238781820-231
15Exeter CityExeter2494112831-331
16Blackpool247983235-330
17Wigan AthleticWigan2376102123-227
18Northampton TownNorthampton2568112439-1526
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2474134146-525
20Bristol Rovers2474132238-1625
21Crawley TownCrawley2355132443-1920
22Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2445152444-2017
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge2445152243-2117
24Burton Albion2428142038-1814


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