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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 38.9%. A win for Lincoln City had a probability of 33.73% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.24%) and 0-2 (7.07%). The likeliest Lincoln City win was 1-0 (10.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.
Result | ||
Lincoln City | Draw | Bolton Wanderers |
33.73% ( -0.14) | 27.37% ( 0.25) | 38.9% ( -0.1) |
Both teams to score 49.52% ( -0.79) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.99% ( -0.98) | 56.02% ( 0.98) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.9% ( -0.81) | 77.1% ( 0.81) |
Lincoln City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.8% ( -0.59) | 31.2% ( 0.59) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.46% ( -0.69) | 67.54% ( 0.69) |
Bolton Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.97% ( -0.53) | 28.03% ( 0.53) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.32% ( -0.68) | 63.68% ( 0.68) |
Score Analysis |
Lincoln City | Draw | Bolton Wanderers |
1-0 @ 10.18% ( 0.21) 2-1 @ 7.55% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 5.93% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 2.93% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 2.3% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.86% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.98% Total : 33.73% | 1-1 @ 12.95% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 8.75% ( 0.33) 2-2 @ 4.8% ( -0.12) Other @ 0.87% Total : 27.36% | 0-1 @ 11.12% ( 0.26) 1-2 @ 8.24% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 7.07% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 3.49% ( -0.08) 0-3 @ 3% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.04% ( -0.08) 1-4 @ 1.11% ( -0.04) 0-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.87% Total : 38.9% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 23 | 16 | 5 | 2 | 41 | 17 | 24 | 53 |
2 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 25 | 15 | 6 | 4 | 50 | 27 | 23 | 51 |
3 | Wrexham | 25 | 15 | 6 | 4 | 37 | 18 | 19 | 51 |
4 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 24 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 37 | 19 | 18 | 47 |
5 | Barnsley | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 39 | 33 | 6 | 42 |
6 | Reading | 24 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 39 | 33 | 6 | 41 |
7 | Stockport CountyStockport | 25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 37 | 27 | 10 | 38 |
8 | Leyton Orient | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 32 | 22 | 10 | 37 |
9 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 23 | 11 | 4 | 8 | 31 | 26 | 5 | 37 |
10 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 36 | 37 | -1 | 37 |
11 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 23 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 27 | 21 | 6 | 34 |
12 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 28 | 30 | -2 | 32 |
13 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 31 |
14 | Stevenage | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 31 |
15 | Exeter CityExeter | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 28 | 31 | -3 | 31 |
16 | Blackpool | 24 | 7 | 9 | 8 | 32 | 35 | -3 | 30 |
17 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 21 | 23 | -2 | 27 |
18 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 25 | 6 | 8 | 11 | 24 | 39 | -15 | 26 |
19 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 24 | 7 | 4 | 13 | 41 | 46 | -5 | 25 |
20 | Bristol Rovers | 24 | 7 | 4 | 13 | 22 | 38 | -16 | 25 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 23 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 24 | 43 | -19 | 20 |
22 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 24 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 24 | 44 | -20 | 17 |
23 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 24 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 22 | 43 | -21 | 17 |
24 | Burton Albion | 24 | 2 | 8 | 14 | 20 | 38 | -18 | 14 |
> League One Full Table |