Home > Football > League One
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 38.9%. A win for Lincoln City had a probability of 33.73% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.24%) and 0-2 (7.07%). The likeliest Lincoln City win was 1-0 (10.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.
Result | ||
Lincoln City | Draw | Bolton Wanderers |
33.73% ( -0.14) | 27.37% ( 0.25) | 38.9% ( -0.1) |
Both teams to score 49.52% ( -0.79) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.99% ( -0.98) | 56.02% ( 0.98) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.9% ( -0.81) | 77.1% ( 0.81) |
Lincoln City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.8% ( -0.59) | 31.2% ( 0.59) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.46% ( -0.69) | 67.54% ( 0.69) |
Bolton Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.97% ( -0.53) | 28.03% ( 0.53) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.32% ( -0.68) | 63.68% ( 0.68) |
Score Analysis |
Lincoln City | Draw | Bolton Wanderers |
1-0 @ 10.18% ( 0.21) 2-1 @ 7.55% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 5.93% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 2.93% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 2.3% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.86% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.98% Total : 33.73% | 1-1 @ 12.95% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 8.75% ( 0.33) 2-2 @ 4.8% ( -0.12) Other @ 0.87% Total : 27.36% | 0-1 @ 11.12% ( 0.26) 1-2 @ 8.24% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 7.07% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 3.49% ( -0.08) 0-3 @ 3% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.04% ( -0.08) 1-4 @ 1.11% ( -0.04) 0-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.87% Total : 38.9% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 28 | 18 | 7 | 3 | 48 | 18 | 30 | 61 |
2 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 29 | 18 | 7 | 4 | 51 | 30 | 21 | 61 |
3 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 29 | 15 | 10 | 4 | 54 | 29 | 25 | 55 |
4 | Derby CountyDerby | 28 | 15 | 8 | 5 | 45 | 21 | 24 | 53 |
5 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 38 | 23 | 15 | 53 |
6 | Barnsley | 27 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 36 | 26 | 10 | 47 |
7 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 27 | 14 | 2 | 11 | 45 | 32 | 13 | 44 |
8 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 28 | 13 | 5 | 10 | 38 | 27 | 11 | 44 |
9 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 29 | 13 | 5 | 11 | 36 | 31 | 5 | 44 |
10 | Portsmouth | 27 | 9 | 11 | 7 | 35 | 33 | 2 | 38 |
11 | Exeter CityExeter | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 42 | 41 | 1 | 38 |
12 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 28 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 43 | 39 | 4 | 37 |
13 | Bristol Rovers | 29 | 10 | 7 | 12 | 43 | 52 | -9 | 37 |
14 | Port Vale | 29 | 10 | 7 | 12 | 29 | 40 | -11 | 37 |
15 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 34 | 36 | -2 | 35 |
16 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 27 | 7 | 13 | 7 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 34 |
17 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 28 | 6 | 11 | 11 | 31 | 33 | -2 | 29 |
18 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 28 | 8 | 5 | 15 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 29 |
19 | MK Dons | 29 | 8 | 4 | 17 | 27 | 40 | -13 | 28 |
20 | Burton Albion | 28 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 37 | 56 | -19 | 28 |
21 | Morecambe | 28 | 6 | 9 | 13 | 31 | 45 | -14 | 27 |
22 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 27 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 25 | 45 | -20 | 26 |
23 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 28 | 7 | 5 | 16 | 24 | 47 | -23 | 26 |
24 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 30 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 24 | 57 | -33 | 21 |
> Full Version |