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League One
Burton Albion
League One | Gameweek 3
Aug 24, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
Pirelli Stadium
Stevenage

Burton Albion
0 - 0
Stevenage


Godwin-Malife (34'), Gilligan (67'), Watt (90')
FT

Sweeney (7'), Roberts (34'), Thompson (34'), Simpson (50'), Smith (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Burton Albion and Stevenage, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Burton Albion

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Burton Albion 3-1 Leicester U21s
Tuesday, August 20 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

Stevenage

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Stevenage 1-0 Palace U21s
Tuesday, August 20 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

We said: Burton Albion 1-1 Stevenage

 Although Burton have been leaky in defence, they deserve credit for their draw at Mansfield. With that in mind, we are backing another stalemate here, albeit with fewer goals. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 41.99%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 30.75% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.57%) and 0-2 (7.81%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 1-0 (9.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Burton AlbionDrawStevenage
30.75% (0.202 0.2) 27.25% (0.010000000000002 0.01) 41.99% (-0.21400000000001 -0.21)
Both teams to score 48.98% (0.055 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.71% (0.027000000000001 0.03)56.28% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.68% (0.023 0.02)77.32% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.59% (0.163 0.16)33.4% (-0.16399999999999 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.97% (0.177 0.18)70.03% (-0.178 -0.18)
Stevenage Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.54% (-0.099999999999994 -0.1)26.45% (0.099 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.37% (-0.133 -0.13)61.63% (0.132 0.13)
Score Analysis
    Burton Albion 30.75%
    Stevenage 41.99%
    Draw 27.25%
Burton AlbionDrawStevenage
1-0 @ 9.69% (0.032 0.03)
2-1 @ 7.06% (0.035 0.04)
2-0 @ 5.31% (0.041 0.04)
3-1 @ 2.58% (0.024 0.02)
3-0 @ 1.94% (0.024 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.72% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 30.75%
1-1 @ 12.88% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.84% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.7% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 27.25%
0-1 @ 11.75% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
1-2 @ 8.57% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-2 @ 7.81% (-0.053 -0.05)
1-3 @ 3.8% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-3 @ 3.46% (-0.034 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.08% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
1-4 @ 1.26% (-0.01 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.15% (-0.015 -0.01)
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 41.99%

How you voted: Burton Albion vs Stevenage

Burton Albion
64.3%
Draw
21.4%
Stevenage
14.3%
14
Head to Head
Apr 13, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 44
Stevenage
1-2
Burton Albion
Hemmings (88')
Thompson (75'), Hemmings (90+4')
Butler (61')
Helm (45+1'), Hamer (76')
Oshilaja (21'), Helm (61'), Hamer (71')
> Preview
Dec 9, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 21
Burton Albion
1-2
Stevenage
Oshilaja (7')
Stockton (66'), Oshilaja (77'), Hughes (90+3')
Hemmings (45+1'), Reid (51' pen.)
Evans (0'), Neal (61'), Forster-Caskey (63')
> Preview
Mar 30, 2015 7.45pm
Burton Albion
1-1
Stevenage
Dembele (45' og.)
Beavon (88')
Naylor (12' og.)
Andrade (65')
> Match Report
Oct 25, 2014 3pm
Stevenage
1-0
Burton Albion
Sharps (84' og.)
Parrett (14')
Mar 22, 2011 3pm
Burton Albion
0-2
Stevenage

Malone (83'), McGrath (87')
Mousinho (4', 88')
Laird (40'), Ashton (72')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham27196246192763
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe29178455302559
3Wrexham29167643251855
4Stockport CountyStockport29148744281650
5Huddersfield TownHuddersfield28146841261548
6Leyton Orient281351040251544
7Charlton AthleticCharlton2812883628844
8Reading28135104341244
9Bolton WanderersBolton29135114343044
10Barnsley29127104139243
11Stevenage2711792725240
12Lincoln CityLincoln29109103534139
13Blackpool2891184140138
14Mansfield TownMansfield27114123534137
15Rotherham UnitedRotherham28107113333037
16Wigan AthleticWigan2897122728-134
17Exeter CityExeter2995153346-1332
18Bristol Rovers2894152844-1631
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2986154555-1030
20Northampton TownNorthampton2979132845-1730
21Burton Albion29510143044-1425
22Crawley TownCrawley2766152748-2124
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2865172848-2023
24Cambridge UnitedCambridge2857162950-2122
> League One Full Table


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