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Stevenage
League One | Gameweek 44
Apr 13, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Lamex Stadium
Burton Albion

Stevenage
1 - 2
Burton Albion

Hemmings (88')
Thompson (75'), Hemmings (90+4')
Butler (61')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Helm (45+1'), Hamer (76')
Oshilaja (21'), Helm (61'), Hamer (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Stevenage and Burton Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stevenage 2-1 Barnsley
Tuesday, April 9 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Burton Albion 0-4 Oxford Utd
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in League One

We said: Stevenage 1-0 Burton Albion

Stevenage's need to earn three points on Saturday is extremely high, and the Boro should be confident of picking up a maximum versus an out-of-form Burton side. The Brewers will be happy to play away from the Pirelli Stadium on the weekend, however we are not expecting a change in fortunes for the visitors in terms of the result. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 53.15%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Burton Albion had a probability of 20.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.86%) and 2-1 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.07%), while for a Burton Albion win it was 0-1 (7.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.

Result
StevenageDrawBurton Albion
53.15% (-0.354 -0.35) 25.96% (0.043999999999997 0.04) 20.88% (0.308 0.31)
Both teams to score 44.5% (0.27200000000001 0.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.02% (0.143 0.14)57.97% (-0.145 -0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.33% (0.112 0.11)78.67% (-0.113 -0.11)
Stevenage Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.08% (-0.093000000000004 -0.09)21.92% (0.091000000000001 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.81% (-0.138 -0.14)55.18% (0.137 0.14)
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.99% (0.416 0.42)43.01% (-0.417 -0.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.7% (0.348 0.35)79.3% (-0.349 -0.35)
Score Analysis
    Stevenage 53.15%
    Burton Albion 20.89%
    Draw 25.96%
StevenageDrawBurton Albion
1-0 @ 14.3% (-0.12 -0.12)
2-0 @ 10.86% (-0.11 -0.11)
2-1 @ 9.16% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
3-0 @ 5.5% (-0.075 -0.08)
3-1 @ 4.64% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.09% (-0.035 -0.04)
3-2 @ 1.96% (0.018 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.76% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 53.15%
1-1 @ 12.07% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
0-0 @ 9.43% (-0.052 -0.05)
2-2 @ 3.87% (0.046 0.05)
Other @ 0.6%
Total : 25.96%
0-1 @ 7.95% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
1-2 @ 5.09% (0.075 0.08)
0-2 @ 3.36% (0.058 0.06)
1-3 @ 1.43% (0.037 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.09% (0.025 0.02)
0-3 @ 0.94% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 1.02%
Total : 20.89%

How you voted: Stevenage vs Burton Albion

Stevenage
57.1%
Draw
28.6%
Burton Albion
14.3%
7
Head to Head
Dec 9, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 21
Burton Albion
1-2
Stevenage
Oshilaja (7')
Stockton (66'), Oshilaja (77'), Hughes (90+3')
Hemmings (45+1'), Reid (51' pen.)
Evans (0'), Neal (61'), Forster-Caskey (63')
Mar 30, 2015 7.45pm
Oct 25, 2014 3pm
Mar 22, 2011 3pm
Oct 16, 2010 3pm
Stevenage
2-1
Burton Albion
Laird (34' pen.), Holroyd (58')
Roberts (24'), Holroyd (30'), Laird (74'), Bostwick (80')
Foster (70')
Webster (48')
Walker (27'), Stanton (30'), Bolder (30'), Harrad (33')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham26186244182660
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe28177454292558
3Wrexham28157641241752
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield27146739231648
5Stockport CountyStockport28138743281547
6Leyton Orient27135940241644
7Bolton WanderersBolton28135104342144
8Charlton AthleticCharlton2712783426843
9Barnsley28126104139242
10Reading27125104241141
11Lincoln CityLincoln28108103433138
12Mansfield TownMansfield26114113432237
13Blackpool2791083938137
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham27107103231137
15Stevenage2610792324-137
16Wigan AthleticWigan2796122627-133
17Exeter CityExeter2895143242-1032
18Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2886144452-830
19Bristol Rovers2784152543-1828
20Northampton TownNorthampton2869132543-1827
21Burton Albion2859143044-1424
22Crawley TownCrawley2666142646-2024
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge2756162849-2121
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2755172647-2120


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