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League One
Stevenage
League One | Gameweek 44
Apr 13, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Lamex Stadium
Burton Albion

Stevenage
1 - 2
Burton Albion

Hemmings (88')
Thompson (75'), Hemmings (90+4')
Butler (61')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Helm (45+1'), Hamer (76')
Oshilaja (21'), Helm (61'), Hamer (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Stevenage and Burton Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Stevenage

All competitions
Last Game: Stevenage 2-1 Barnsley
Tuesday, April 9 at 7.45pm in League One

Burton Albion

All competitions
Last Game: Burton Albion 0-4 Oxford Utd
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in League One

We said: Stevenage 1-0 Burton Albion

 Stevenage's need to earn three points on Saturday is extremely high, and the Boro should be confident of picking up a maximum versus an out-of-form Burton side. The Brewers will be happy to play away from the Pirelli Stadium on the weekend, however we are not expecting a change in fortunes for the visitors in terms of the result. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 53.15%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Burton Albion had a probability of 20.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.86%) and 2-1 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.07%), while for a Burton Albion win it was 0-1 (7.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.

Result
StevenageDrawBurton Albion
53.15% (-0.354 -0.35) 25.96% (0.043999999999997 0.04) 20.88% (0.308 0.31)
Both teams to score 44.5% (0.27200000000001 0.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.02% (0.143 0.14)57.97% (-0.145 -0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.33% (0.112 0.11)78.67% (-0.113 -0.11)
Stevenage Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.08% (-0.093000000000004 -0.09)21.92% (0.091000000000001 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.81% (-0.138 -0.14)55.18% (0.137 0.14)
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.99% (0.416 0.42)43.01% (-0.417 -0.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.7% (0.348 0.35)79.3% (-0.349 -0.35)
Score Analysis
    Stevenage 53.15%
    Burton Albion 20.89%
    Draw 25.96%
StevenageDrawBurton Albion
1-0 @ 14.3% (-0.12 -0.12)
2-0 @ 10.86% (-0.11 -0.11)
2-1 @ 9.16% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
3-0 @ 5.5% (-0.075 -0.08)
3-1 @ 4.64% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.09% (-0.035 -0.04)
3-2 @ 1.96% (0.018 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.76% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 53.15%
1-1 @ 12.07% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
0-0 @ 9.43% (-0.052 -0.05)
2-2 @ 3.87% (0.046 0.05)
Other @ 0.6%
Total : 25.96%
0-1 @ 7.95% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
1-2 @ 5.09% (0.075 0.08)
0-2 @ 3.36% (0.058 0.06)
1-3 @ 1.43% (0.037 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.09% (0.025 0.02)
0-3 @ 0.94% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 1.02%
Total : 20.89%

How you voted: Stevenage vs Burton Albion

Stevenage
57.1%
Draw
28.6%
Burton Albion
14.3%
7
Head to Head
Dec 9, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 21
Burton Albion
1-2
Stevenage
Oshilaja (7')
Stockton (66'), Oshilaja (77'), Hughes (90+3')
Hemmings (45+1'), Reid (51' pen.)
Evans (0'), Neal (61'), Forster-Caskey (63')
> Preview
Mar 30, 2015 7.45pm
Burton Albion
1-1
Stevenage
Dembele (45' og.)
Beavon (88')
Naylor (12' og.)
Andrade (65')
> Match Report
Oct 25, 2014 3pm
Stevenage
1-0
Burton Albion
Sharps (84' og.)
Parrett (14')
Mar 22, 2011 3pm
Burton Albion
0-2
Stevenage

Malone (83'), McGrath (87')
Mousinho (4', 88')
Laird (40'), Ashton (72')
Oct 16, 2010 3pm
Stevenage
2-1
Burton Albion
Laird (34' pen.), Holroyd (58')
Roberts (24'), Holroyd (30'), Laird (74'), Bostwick (80')
Foster (70')
Webster (48')
Walker (27'), Stanton (30'), Bolder (30'), Harrad (33')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham19143235161945
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe20135243222144
3Wrexham21126331141742
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield20123534181639
5Stockport CountyStockport21106534221236
6Lincoln CityLincoln218762825331
7Reading209473030031
8Bolton WanderersBolton199462829-131
9Barnsley218672930-130
10Mansfield TownMansfield198472322128
11Charlton AthleticCharlton207672319427
12Blackpool207672931-227
13Exeter CityExeter208391922-327
14Stevenage197571517-226
15Leyton Orient207492320325
16Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2073103837124
17Wigan AthleticWigan206681918124
18Rotherham UnitedRotherham196581921-223
19Bristol Rovers2064101829-1122
20Northampton TownNorthampton2156102134-1321
21Crawley TownCrawley2054112033-1319
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge2045112035-1517
23Burton Albion2026121732-1512
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2033142141-2012
> League One Full Table


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