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League One | Gameweek 45
Apr 19, 2024 at 8pm UK
The Kassam Stadium
Stevenage

Oxford Utd
1 - 1
Stevenage

Brannagan (59' pen.)
FT(HT: 0-1)
Long (32' og.)
Vancooten (10'), Guinness-Walker (71'), Smith (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League One clash between Oxford United and Stevenage, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Oxford Utd 0-1 Lincoln
Tuesday, April 16 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Stevenage 1-2 Burton Albion
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in League One

We said: Oxford United 2-1 Stevenage

Although Oxford experienced a disappointing result on Tuesday, we think that they will bounce back to claim all three points in Friday's clash against a Stevenage side who could be downbeat following a run of poor form and Evans's recent departure. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 43.98%. A win for Stevenage had a probability of 31.36% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.95%) and 2-0 (7.05%). The likeliest Stevenage win was 1-2 (7.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.

Result
Oxford UnitedDrawStevenage
43.98%24.66%31.36% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Both teams to score 57.52%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.64%45.36% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.31%67.69% (0.00099999999999056 0)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.29%20.71% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.69%53.31% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Stevenage Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.54% (0.0010000000000048 0)27.46%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.05%62.95% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Score Analysis
    Oxford United 43.98%
    Stevenage 31.36%
    Draw 24.66%
Oxford UnitedDrawStevenage
2-1 @ 9.11%
1-0 @ 8.95%
2-0 @ 7.05%
3-1 @ 4.78%
3-0 @ 3.7%
3-2 @ 3.09%
4-1 @ 1.88%
4-0 @ 1.46%
4-2 @ 1.22%
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 43.98%
1-1 @ 11.57%
2-2 @ 5.89%
0-0 @ 5.69%
3-3 @ 1.33%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.66%
1-2 @ 7.48%
0-1 @ 7.35% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 4.75%
1-3 @ 3.22%
2-3 @ 2.54%
0-3 @ 2.05%
1-4 @ 1.04%
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 31.36%

How you voted: Oxford Utd vs Stevenage

Oxford United
Draw
Stevenage
Oxford United
81.6%
Draw
8.2%
Stevenage
10.2%
49
Head to Head
Sep 30, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 10
Stevenage
1-3
Oxford Utd
Reid (15')
Butler (65')
Leigh (23', 55'), Moore (82')
Moore (45+4'), Beadle (90+5')
Oct 5, 2021 7.45pm
Group Stage
Oxford Utd
1-2
Stevenage
Agyei (11')
Henry (62')
Reid (75'), Norris (90')
Aug 29, 2017 7.45pm
-
Stevenage
2-6
Oxford Utd
Beautyman (19'), Samuel (82')
Conlon (49')
Henry (30'), Hall (43', 52'), Obika (50'), Rothwell (55'), Payne (64')
Xemi (53')
Mar 25, 2016 3pm
Oct 31, 2015 3pm
Stevenage
1-5
Oxford Utd
Whelpdale (17')
McCombe (27'), Tonge (68')
Taylor (13', 72'), Serecombe (27' pen.), MacDonald (66'), Roofe (75')
MacDonald (44'), Dunkley (45')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham37268363253886
2Wrexham39238854302477
3Wycombe WanderersWycombe382111665362974
4Charlton AthleticCharlton392091053351869
5Stockport CountyStockport391911955361968
6Reading381711105547862
7Huddersfield TownHuddersfield381871352381461
8Bolton WanderersBolton38186146057360
9Leyton Orient381851554381659
10Blackpool391415105951857
11Barnsley39159155355-254
12Lincoln CityLincoln391311155346750
13Stevenage381310153539-449
14Mansfield TownMansfield38138174552-747
15Peterborough UnitedPeterborough38129175763-645
16Rotherham UnitedRotherham38129174249-745
17Exeter CityExeter38129174053-1345
18Wigan AthleticWigan371111153437-344
19Northampton TownNorthampton391013163857-1943
20Bristol Rovers39126214063-2342
21Burton Albion38812183955-1636
22Crawley TownCrawley3999214471-2736
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge39710223763-2631
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury3877243566-3128


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