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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 61.1%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Burton Albion had a probability of 16.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.61%) and 2-1 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.58%), while for a Burton Albion win it was 0-1 (5.74%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Mansfield Town | Draw | Burton Albion |
61.1% ( -0.64) | 22.29% ( 0.36) | 16.61% ( 0.28) |
Both teams to score 47.82% ( -0.49) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.21% ( -0.98) | 49.79% ( 0.98) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.21% ( -0.88) | 71.79% ( 0.88) |
Mansfield Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.17% ( -0.54) | 15.83% ( 0.55) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.99% ( -1.01) | 45.01% ( 1.02) |
Burton Albion Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
56.81% ( -0.22) | 43.19% ( 0.22) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.55% ( -0.18) | 79.45% ( 0.18) |
Score Analysis |
Mansfield Town | Draw | Burton Albion |
1-0 @ 12.6% ( 0.27) 2-0 @ 11.61% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.75% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 7.14% ( -0.12) 3-1 @ 5.99% ( -0.14) 4-0 @ 3.29% ( -0.12) 4-1 @ 2.76% ( -0.12) 3-2 @ 2.52% ( -0.07) 5-0 @ 1.21% ( -0.07) 4-2 @ 1.16% ( -0.06) 5-1 @ 1.02% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.05% Total : 61.09% | 1-1 @ 10.58% ( 0.16) 0-0 @ 6.84% ( 0.27) 2-2 @ 4.09% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.78% Total : 22.29% | 0-1 @ 5.74% ( 0.19) 1-2 @ 4.44% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 2.41% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 1.24% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.63% Total : 16.61% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 19 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 43 | 22 | 21 | 43 |
2 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 18 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 34 | 16 | 18 | 42 |
3 | Wrexham | 20 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 30 | 13 | 17 | 41 |
4 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 19 | 11 | 3 | 5 | 30 | 18 | 12 | 36 |
5 | Stockport CountyStockport | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 33 |
6 | Reading | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 31 |
7 | Barnsley | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 29 | 26 | 3 | 30 |
8 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 28 | 29 | -1 | 30 |
9 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 28 |
10 | Blackpool | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 26 |
11 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 22 | 0 | 25 |
12 | Stevenage | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 25 |
13 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 37 | 35 | 2 | 24 |
14 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 24 |
15 | Exeter CityExeter | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 24 |
16 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 23 |
17 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 23 |
18 | Leyton Orient | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 22 |
19 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 21 | 29 | -8 | 21 |
20 | Bristol Rovers | 19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 21 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 20 | 32 | -12 | 19 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 20 | 31 | -11 | 17 |
23 | Burton Albion | 19 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 12 |
24 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 19 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 19 | 39 | -20 | 11 |
> League One Full Table |