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League One
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League One | Gameweek 1
Aug 5, 2023 at 3pm UK
Pride Park Stadium
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Derby
1 - 2
Wigan

Forsyth (57')
Smith (37'), Cashin (48')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Wyke (37', 72')
Hughes (49'), Smith (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Derby County and Wigan Athletic, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Derby County

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Derby 1-3 Sheff Utd
Saturday, July 29 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1

Wigan Athletic

All competitions
Last Game: Wigan 0-1 Everton
Saturday, July 22 at 2pm in Club Friendlies 1

We said: Derby County 2-1 Wigan Athletic

 Derby come into this match in better form than their opponents, and we are expecting them to start the campaign strongly here to match their promotion ambitions. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 47.34%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Wigan Athletic had a probability of 26.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.07%) and 2-0 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.52%), while for a Wigan Athletic win it was 0-1 (8.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.

Result
Derby CountyDrawWigan Athletic
47.34% (-2.644 -2.64) 26.49% (0.364 0.36) 26.17% (2.282 2.28)
Both teams to score 48.47% (1.022 1.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.38% (0.294 0.29)55.62% (-0.29499999999999 -0.29)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.22% (0.242 0.24)76.78% (-0.239 -0.24)
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.5% (-1.071 -1.07)23.5% (1.072 1.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.47% (-1.579 -1.58)57.53% (1.58 1.58)
Wigan Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.35% (2.193 2.19)36.65% (-2.191 -2.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.57% (2.137 2.14)73.44% (-2.136 -2.14)
Score Analysis
    Derby County 47.34%
    Wigan Athletic 26.17%
    Draw 26.49%
Derby CountyDrawWigan Athletic
1-0 @ 12.47% (-0.55 -0.55)
2-1 @ 9.07% (-0.14 -0.14)
2-0 @ 9.03% (-0.702 -0.7)
3-1 @ 4.38% (-0.211 -0.21)
3-0 @ 4.36% (-0.491 -0.49)
3-2 @ 2.2% (0.027 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.58% (-0.13 -0.13)
4-0 @ 1.58% (-0.234 -0.23)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 47.34%
1-1 @ 12.52% (0.21 0.21)
0-0 @ 8.61% (-0.098000000000001 -0.1)
2-2 @ 4.55% (0.197 0.2)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 26.49%
0-1 @ 8.65% (0.407 0.41)
1-2 @ 6.28% (0.461 0.46)
0-2 @ 4.34% (0.443 0.44)
1-3 @ 2.1% (0.267 0.27)
2-3 @ 1.52% (0.151 0.15)
0-3 @ 1.45% (0.224 0.22)
Other @ 1.82%
Total : 26.17%

How you voted: Derby vs Wigan

Derby County
68.8%
Draw
18.8%
Wigan Athletic
12.5%
16
Head to Head
Dec 26, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 24
Wigan
1-1
Derby
Garner (81')
Evans (61')
Waghorn (93')
Bielik (22'), Bogle (30'), Lawrence (43')
> Match Report
Oct 23, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 13
Derby
1-0
Wigan
Shinnie (91')
Shinnie (64'), Malone (65')

Robinson (51'), Macleod (92')
> Match Report
Mar 5, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 33
Derby
2-1
Wigan
Bennett (62'), Malone (78')
Johnson (41'), Bennett (59'), Wilson (63'), Tomori (71')
Massey (25')
Morsy (37')
> Match Report
Dec 8, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 21
Wigan
0-1
Derby

Morsy (32')
Naismith (15')
Marriott (21')
Wilson (32'), Bryson (76')
> Match Report
Dec 31, 2016 3pm
Derby
0-0
Wigan
Johnson (57'), Hughes (87')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe14102232161632
2Birmingham CityBirmingham1393124121230
3Wrexham1584322111128
4Stockport CountyStockport167632617927
5Barnsley157532419526
6Lincoln CityLincoln157532117426
7Mansfield TownMansfield137332015524
8Huddersfield TownHuddersfield147252114723
9Exeter CityExeter147251410423
10Reading147252221123
11Bolton WanderersBolton147252224-223
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough156363127421
13Charlton AthleticCharlton145451515019
14Bristol Rovers155371621-518
15Stevenage155371116-518
16Northampton TownNorthampton154561821-317
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham154561418-417
18Blackpool154562128-717
19Wigan AthleticWigan143561212014
20Leyton Orient144281418-414
21Crawley TownCrawley163491427-1313
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge143291324-1111
23Burton Albion141581525-108
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1522111327-148
> League One Full Table


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