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Exeter City
League One | Gameweek 20
Dec 14, 2024 at 3pm UK
St James Park
Barnsley

Exeter
1 - 2
Barnsley

Magennis (13')
Caldwell (12')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Nwakali (49'), Keillor-Dunn (58')
McCarthy (11'), Pines (90+1'), Lofthouse (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Exeter City and Barnsley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Exeter 1-2 Birmingham
Tuesday, December 10 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Barnsley 1-2 Birmingham
Saturday, December 7 at 3pm in League One

We said: Exeter City 1-2 Barnsley

Saturday's contest promises to be a hard-fought one between two sides desperate to end slumps in their form. Even without Phillips, Barnsley's quality should be enough to get them over the line and trigger an improvement beginning at St James Park. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 40.36%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 34.71% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.57%) and 0-2 (6.39%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 2-1 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Barnsley in this match.

Result
Exeter CityDrawBarnsley
34.71% (0.0020000000000024 0) 24.93% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 40.36% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Both teams to score 57.72% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.41% (0.0020000000000024 0)45.59% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.09% (0.00099999999999767 0)67.91% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.48% (0.00099999999999056 0)25.52% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.63% (0.0020000000000024 0)60.37% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Barnsley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.5%22.5%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.94%56.06% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Score Analysis
    Exeter City 34.71%
    Barnsley 40.36%
    Draw 24.92%
Exeter CityDrawBarnsley
2-1 @ 7.99% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-0 @ 7.84%
2-0 @ 5.36%
3-1 @ 3.64%
3-2 @ 2.71%
3-0 @ 2.44%
4-1 @ 1.24% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 0.93%
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 34.71%
1-1 @ 11.69%
2-2 @ 5.96%
0-0 @ 5.74% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 1.35%
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.92%
1-2 @ 8.72%
0-1 @ 8.57% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
0-2 @ 6.39%
1-3 @ 4.34%
0-3 @ 3.18%
2-3 @ 2.96%
1-4 @ 1.62%
0-4 @ 1.18%
2-4 @ 1.11%
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 40.36%

How you voted: Exeter vs Barnsley

Exeter City
38.5%
Draw
15.4%
Barnsley
46.2%
13
Head to Head
Jan 27, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 30
Barnsley
1-2
Exeter
Durand de Gevigney (87')
Cotter (58')
Aitchison (17'), Cole (30')
Watts (83'), Hartridge (90+2'), Aitchison (90+6')
Oct 7, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 12
Exeter
0-1
Barnsley

Aitchison (45'), Cole (70')
McAtee (89')
McCart (6'), Styles (45+1')
Mar 28, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 26
Exeter
3-1
Barnsley
Stansfield (26'), Kite (49'), Nombe (89' pen.)
Thomas (37')
Oct 8, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 14
Barnsley
0-2
Exeter
Stansfield (1', 48')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe20135243222144
2Birmingham CityBirmingham18133234161842
3Wrexham21126331141742
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield20123534181639
5Stockport CountyStockport21106534221236
6Lincoln CityLincoln218762825331
7Reading209473030031
8Bolton WanderersBolton199462829-131
9Barnsley208662926330
10Blackpool197572931-226
11Mansfield TownMansfield187472222025
12Stevenage187471517-225
13Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2073103837124
14Charlton AthleticCharlton196671819-124
15Exeter CityExeter197391721-424
16Wigan AthleticWigan196581716123
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham186571920-123
18Leyton Orient196491920-122
19Bristol Rovers2064101829-1122
20Northampton TownNorthampton205692129-821
21Crawley TownCrawley1954102032-1219
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge2045112035-1517
23Burton Albion1926111630-1412
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1932141939-2011


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