EFL Trophy | Second Round
Dec 10, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
St James Park
Exeter1 - 2Birmingham
Coverage of the EFL Trophy Second Round clash between Exeter City and Birmingham City.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Stockport 2-0 Exeter
Saturday, December 7 at 3pm in League One
Saturday, December 7 at 3pm in League One
Goals
for
for
16
Last Game: Barnsley 1-2 Birmingham
Saturday, December 7 at 3pm in League One
Saturday, December 7 at 3pm in League One
Goals
for
for
32
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 52.32%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 23.95% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.72%) and 0-2 (8.89%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 1-0 (6.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Birmingham City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Exeter City | Draw | Birmingham City |
23.95% ( -0.02) | 23.73% ( -0.02) | 52.32% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 54.73% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
