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League One | Gameweek 17
Nov 23, 2024 at 3pm UK
SToK Cae Ras
Exeter City

Wrexham
3 - 0
Exeter

Cleworth (7'), Palmer (25'), Rathbone (72')
Rathbone (4')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Watts (40'), Aitchison (51')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Wrexham and Exeter City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stockport 1-0 Wrexham
Saturday, November 16 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Exeter 0-0 Lincoln
Saturday, November 16 at 12.30pm in League One

We said: Wrexham 2-1 Exeter City

Exeter may be enjoying a four-game unbeaten run in all competitions, but we think that impressive spell of form will be brought to an end when they go up against a Wrexham side that have won six of their seven home league games this season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 53.17%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Exeter City had a probability of 22.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.69%) and 2-0 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.47%), while for a Exeter City win it was 0-1 (6.8%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wrexham would win this match.

Result
WrexhamDrawExeter City
53.17% (-0.106 -0.11) 24.13% (-0.004999999999999 -0) 22.69% (0.111 0.11)
Both teams to score 51.95% (0.154 0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.71% (0.134 0.13)49.29% (-0.135 -0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.65% (0.121 0.12)71.34% (-0.122 -0.12)
Wrexham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.52% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)18.48% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.32% (0.015999999999998 0.02)49.68% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.73% (0.182 0.18)36.26% (-0.182 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.95% (0.185 0.18)73.05% (-0.184 -0.18)
Score Analysis
    Wrexham 53.17%
    Exeter City 22.69%
    Draw 24.13%
WrexhamDrawExeter City
1-0 @ 11.31% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
2-1 @ 9.69%
2-0 @ 9.55% (-0.046999999999999 -0.05)
3-1 @ 5.46% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 5.38% (-0.025 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.77% (0.015 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.3% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-0 @ 2.27% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.17% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 3.28%
Total : 53.17%
1-1 @ 11.47% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.7% (-0.037 -0.04)
2-2 @ 4.92% (0.025 0.03)
3-3 @ 0.94% (0.009 0.01)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.13%
0-1 @ 6.8% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-2 @ 5.82% (0.027 0.03)
0-2 @ 3.45% (0.015 0.02)
1-3 @ 1.97% (0.019 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.66% (0.017 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.17% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 22.69%

How you voted: Wrexham vs Exeter

Wrexham
76.0%
Draw
16.0%
Exeter City
8.0%
25
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe20135243222144
2Birmingham CityBirmingham18133234161842
3Wrexham20125330131741
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield20123534181639
5Stockport CountyStockport21106534221236
6Reading199463028231
7Bolton WanderersBolton199462829-131
8Barnsley208662926330
9Lincoln CityLincoln207762625128
10Blackpool197572931-226
11Mansfield TownMansfield187472222025
12Stevenage187471517-225
13Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2073103837124
14Charlton AthleticCharlton196671819-124
15Exeter CityExeter197391721-424
16Wigan AthleticWigan196581716123
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham186571920-123
18Leyton Orient196491920-122
19Northampton TownNorthampton205692129-821
20Bristol Rovers1963101728-1121
21Crawley TownCrawley1954102032-1219
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge2045112035-1517
23Burton Albion1926111630-1412
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1932141939-2011


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