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Burton Albion
League One | Gameweek 43
Apr 6, 2024 at 3pm UK
Pirelli Stadium
Oxford United

Burton Albion
0 - 4
Oxford Utd


Powell (50'), Brayford (83')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Harris (24', 57'), Murphy (62'), Henry (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Burton Albion and Oxford United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Burton Albion 1-3 Barnsley
Monday, April 1 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Oxford Utd 4-0 Fleetwood
Monday, April 1 at 3pm in League One

We said: Burton Albion 0-2 Oxford United

It is difficult to back Burton at the moment due to their struggles, but the same cannot be said for Oxford, who are pushing for a top-six spot. The visitors were excellent against a struggling Fleetwood last time out, and we are expecting them to put another three points on the board this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 51.61%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 24.32% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.67%) and 0-2 (8.91%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 1-0 (6.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Oxford United would win this match.

Result
Burton AlbionDrawOxford United
24.32% (0.015000000000001 0.02) 24.07% (0.0080000000000027 0.01) 51.61% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Both teams to score 54.07% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.59% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)47.41% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.37% (-0.020999999999997 -0.02)69.63% (0.019000000000005 0.02)
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.24% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)33.76% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.57% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)70.42% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.63% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)18.37% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.51% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)49.49% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Burton Albion 24.32%
    Oxford United 51.6%
    Draw 24.07%
Burton AlbionDrawOxford United
1-0 @ 6.73% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
2-1 @ 6.19% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-0 @ 3.66% (0.0029999999999997 0)
3-1 @ 2.24% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 1.9%
3-0 @ 1.32% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 24.32%
1-1 @ 11.41% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.2% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.25% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 1.07% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.07%
0-1 @ 10.5%
1-2 @ 9.67% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-2 @ 8.91% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
1-3 @ 5.46% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 5.03% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-3 @ 2.97% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
1-4 @ 2.31% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 2.13% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-4 @ 1.26% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.37%
Total : 51.6%

How you voted: Burton Albion vs Oxford Utd

Burton Albion
10.0%
Draw
15.0%
Oxford United
75.0%
20
Head to Head
Dec 16, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 22
Oxford Utd
3-0
Burton Albion
Rodrigues (25', 83'), McGuane (89')

Gordon (74')
Jan 28, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 29
Burton Albion
2-0
Oxford Utd
Eastwood (40' og.), Taylor (49')
Sep 3, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 7
Oxford Utd
2-1
Burton Albion
Brannagan (48'), Joseph (71')
Findlay (86')
Adeboyejo (77')
Hughes (58'), Brayford (60')
Mar 5, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 37
Oxford Utd
4-1
Burton Albion
Baldock (7', 40'), Whyte (35'), Taylor (45')
Guedioura (45+2')
Saydee (29')
Oct 23, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 15
Burton Albion
1-3
Oxford Utd
Lakin (80')
Bostwick (38'), Akins (53'), Hemmings (86')
Taylor (1'), Holland (43'), Henry (84' pen.)
Brannagan (68')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham34247356223479
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe351911561332868
3Wrexham35208750282268
4Stockport CountyStockport361711852341862
5Charlton AthleticCharlton35179946311560
6Bolton WanderersBolton35186115751660
7Huddersfield TownHuddersfield361771247331458
8Reading351510104945455
9Leyton Orient361651551371453
10Barnsley36157145051-152
11Blackpool35111595247548
12Stevenage35139133335-248
13Lincoln CityLincoln361210144845346
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham35128153941-244
15Wigan AthleticWigan351110143234-243
16Mansfield TownMansfield35118164148-741
17Northampton TownNorthampton361011153653-1741
18Exeter CityExeter34117163750-1340
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough35109165260-839
20Bristol Rovers35116183653-1739
21Burton Albion36712173653-1733
22Crawley TownCrawley3579193865-2730
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge3578203458-2429
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury3677223460-2628


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