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Barnsley
League One | Gameweek 1
Aug 9, 2024 at 8pm UK
Oakwell Stadium
Mansfield Town

Barnsley
1 - 2
Mansfield

Connell (32')
Earl (79')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Quinn (13'), Gregory (18')
Quinn (25'), Pym (66'), Nichols (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League One clash between Barnsley and Mansfield Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Barnsley 0-4 Roma
Tuesday, August 6 at 5pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Matlock Town 0-3 Mansfield
Tuesday, August 6 at 7.45pm in Club Friendlies 3

We said: Barnsley 2-1 Mansfield Town

Like the other teams that have earned promotion from League Two, Mansfield have the potential to make an impact in the third tier. However, we can only back the home side to come through this contest with three points, albeit in a competitive match. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 55.86%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Barnsley had a probability of 21.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.88%) and 0-2 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.77%), while for a Barnsley win it was 1-0 (5.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mansfield Town would win this match.

Result
BarnsleyDrawMansfield Town
21.34% (-6.258 -6.26) 22.8% (-1.916 -1.92) 55.86% (8.173 8.17)
Both teams to score 54.41% (-0.595 -0.59)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.85% (2.457 2.46)45.16% (-2.456 -2.46)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.5% (2.312 2.31)67.5% (-2.312 -2.31)
Barnsley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.77% (-4.003 -4)35.23% (4.002 4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.01% (-4.415 -4.42)71.99% (4.415 4.41)
Mansfield Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84% (4.023 4.02)16% (-4.023 -4.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.69% (6.908 6.91)45.32% (-6.909 -6.91)
Score Analysis
    Barnsley 21.34%
    Mansfield Town 55.86%
    Draw 22.79%
BarnsleyDrawMansfield Town
1-0 @ 5.88% (-1.396 -1.4)
2-1 @ 5.62% (-1.189 -1.19)
2-0 @ 3.07% (-1.167 -1.17)
3-1 @ 1.95% (-0.688 -0.69)
3-2 @ 1.79% (-0.334 -0.33)
3-0 @ 1.07% (-0.577 -0.58)
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 21.34%
1-1 @ 10.77% (-0.93 -0.93)
0-0 @ 5.64% (-0.616 -0.62)
2-2 @ 5.15% (-0.326 -0.33)
3-3 @ 1.09% (-0.045 -0.04)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 22.79%
0-1 @ 10.33% (0.28 0.28)
1-2 @ 9.88% (0.463 0.46)
0-2 @ 9.47% (1.378 1.38)
1-3 @ 6.03% (0.987 0.99)
0-3 @ 5.78% (1.447 1.45)
2-3 @ 3.15% (0.211 0.21)
1-4 @ 2.76% (0.735 0.74)
0-4 @ 2.65% (0.906 0.91)
2-4 @ 1.44% (0.261 0.26)
1-5 @ 1.01% (0.36 0.36)
0-5 @ 0.97% (0.41 0.41)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 55.86%

How you voted: Barnsley vs Mansfield

Barnsley
62.0%
Draw
12.7%
Mansfield Town
25.4%
71
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Browns
32-41
Broncos
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe16122236181838
2Wrexham17104326111534
3Birmingham CityBirmingham15103228151333
4Stockport CountyStockport1786329171230
5Huddersfield TownHuddersfield1692525151029
6Barnsley177642622427
7Reading168352624227
8Bolton WanderersBolton168352526-127
9Lincoln CityLincoln177552321226
10Mansfield TownMansfield157352017324
11Exeter CityExeter167271415-123
12Charlton AthleticCharlton166461717022
13Peterborough UnitedPeterborough166373229321
14Bristol Rovers176381723-621
15Wigan AthleticWigan165561513220
16Blackpool175572430-620
17Stevenage165471116-519
18Northampton TownNorthampton174671923-418
19Rotherham UnitedRotherham164571419-517
20Crawley TownCrawley174491527-1216
21Leyton Orient164391420-615
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge163491425-1113
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1632111629-1311
24Burton Albion1615101529-148


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