Home > Football > League One
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 36.71%. A win for Stevenage had a probability of 35.77% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.94%) and 2-0 (6.62%). The likeliest Stevenage win was 0-1 (10.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Exeter City in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Exeter City.
Result | ||
Exeter City | Draw | Stevenage |
36.71% ( -0.25) | 27.52% ( 0.06) | 35.77% ( 0.19) |
Both teams to score 49.26% ( -0.18) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.57% ( -0.23) | 56.43% ( 0.23) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.56% ( -0.19) | 77.44% ( 0.19) |
Exeter City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.48% ( -0.27) | 29.52% ( 0.27) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.46% ( -0.33) | 65.54% ( 0.33) |
Stevenage Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.9% ( 0.01) | 30.1% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.76% ( 0.01) | 66.24% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Exeter City | Draw | Stevenage |
1-0 @ 10.84% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 7.94% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 6.62% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 3.23% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 2.69% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 1.94% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 0.99% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.47% Total : 36.71% | 1-1 @ 13.01% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 8.89% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 4.77% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.85% Total : 27.51% | 0-1 @ 10.66% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 7.81% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 6.4% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 3.13% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.56% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.91% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 0.94% ( 0) Other @ 2.35% Total : 35.76% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 20 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 43 | 22 | 21 | 44 |
2 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 18 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 34 | 16 | 18 | 42 |
3 | Wrexham | 20 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 30 | 13 | 17 | 41 |
4 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 20 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 34 | 18 | 16 | 39 |
5 | Stockport CountyStockport | 21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 34 | 22 | 12 | 36 |
6 | Reading | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 31 |
7 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 28 | 29 | -1 | 31 |
8 | Barnsley | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 29 | 26 | 3 | 30 |
9 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 28 |
10 | Blackpool | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 26 |
11 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 22 | 0 | 25 |
12 | Stevenage | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 25 |
13 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 20 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 38 | 37 | 1 | 24 |
14 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 24 |
15 | Exeter CityExeter | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 24 |
16 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 23 |
17 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 23 |
18 | Leyton Orient | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 22 |
19 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 21 | 29 | -8 | 21 |
20 | Bristol Rovers | 19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 21 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 20 | 32 | -12 | 19 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 20 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 20 | 35 | -15 | 17 |
23 | Burton Albion | 19 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 12 |
24 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 19 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 19 | 39 | -20 | 11 |
> League One Full Table |