Home > Football > League One
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 58.68%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 19.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.63%) and 2-0 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.11%), while for a Shrewsbury Town win it was 1-2 (5.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Mansfield Town in this match.
Result | ||
Mansfield Town | Draw | Shrewsbury Town |
58.68% ( -4.07) | 21.59% ( 1.27) | 19.73% ( 2.81) |
Both teams to score 55.91% ( 1.08) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.05% ( -1.17) | 41.95% ( 1.17) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.65% ( -1.19) | 64.35% ( 1.19) |
Mansfield Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.01% ( -1.57) | 13.99% ( 1.57) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.5% ( -3.19) | 41.5% ( 3.19) |
Shrewsbury Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65% ( 2.4) | 35% ( -2.4) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.25% ( 2.44) | 71.75% ( -2.44) |
Score Analysis |
Mansfield Town | Draw | Shrewsbury Town |
2-1 @ 9.94% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9.63% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 9.47% ( -0.63) 3-1 @ 6.52% ( -0.39) 3-0 @ 6.21% ( -0.82) 3-2 @ 3.42% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 3.21% ( -0.4) 4-0 @ 3.05% ( -0.61) 4-2 @ 1.68% ( -0.09) 5-1 @ 1.26% ( -0.24) 5-0 @ 1.2% ( -0.33) Other @ 3.08% Total : 58.68% | 1-1 @ 10.11% ( 0.58) 2-2 @ 5.22% ( 0.33) 0-0 @ 4.9% ( 0.25) 3-3 @ 1.2% ( 0.08) Other @ 0.17% Total : 21.59% | 1-2 @ 5.31% ( 0.62) 0-1 @ 5.14% ( 0.57) 0-2 @ 2.7% ( 0.45) 1-3 @ 1.86% ( 0.32) 2-3 @ 1.83% ( 0.22) 0-3 @ 0.94% ( 0.21) Other @ 1.96% Total : 19.73% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 24 | 17 | 5 | 2 | 42 | 17 | 25 | 56 |
2 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 26 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 52 | 28 | 24 | 54 |
3 | Wrexham | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 38 | 20 | 18 | 51 |
4 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 25 | 14 | 6 | 5 | 39 | 21 | 18 | 48 |
5 | Barnsley | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 40 | 36 | 4 | 42 |
6 | Stockport CountyStockport | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 40 | 28 | 12 | 41 |
7 | Reading | 25 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 40 | 36 | 4 | 41 |
8 | Leyton Orient | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 32 | 22 | 10 | 38 |
9 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 38 | 39 | -1 | 38 |
10 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 32 | 28 | 4 | 37 |
11 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 29 | 30 | -1 | 35 |
12 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 34 |
13 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 28 | 26 | 2 | 34 |
14 | Blackpool | 25 | 7 | 10 | 8 | 34 | 37 | -3 | 31 |
15 | Stevenage | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 31 |
16 | Exeter CityExeter | 25 | 9 | 4 | 12 | 28 | 32 | -4 | 31 |
17 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 23 | 24 | -1 | 30 |
18 | Bristol Rovers | 25 | 8 | 4 | 13 | 25 | 39 | -14 | 28 |
19 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 25 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 41 | 46 | -5 | 26 |
20 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 24 | 40 | -16 | 26 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 25 | 44 | -19 | 21 |
22 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 25 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 26 | 45 | -19 | 20 |
23 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 25 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 24 | 45 | -21 | 18 |
24 | Burton Albion | 25 | 2 | 9 | 14 | 21 | 39 | -18 | 15 |
> League One Full Table |