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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 48.7%. A win for Cambridge United had a probability of 27.32% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.31%) and 2-0 (7.87%). The likeliest Cambridge United win was 1-2 (6.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Northampton Town | Draw | Cambridge United |
48.7% ( 0.17) | 23.98% ( -0.11) | 27.32% ( -0.06) |
Both teams to score 57.22% ( 0.34) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.41% ( 0.47) | 44.59% ( -0.47) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.04% ( 0.45) | 66.96% ( -0.45) |
Northampton Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.58% ( 0.25) | 18.42% ( -0.25) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.42% ( 0.42) | 49.58% ( -0.42) |
Cambridge United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.14% ( 0.2) | 29.86% ( -0.2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.04% ( 0.24) | 65.95% ( -0.24) |
Score Analysis |
Northampton Town | Draw | Cambridge United |
2-1 @ 9.51% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 9.31% ( -0.11) 2-0 @ 7.87% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 5.36% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 4.44% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.24% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 2.27% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 1.88% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.37% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.44% Total : 48.7% | 1-1 @ 11.24% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 5.75% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 5.5% ( -0.11) 3-3 @ 1.31% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.18% Total : 23.98% | 1-2 @ 6.8% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 6.65% ( -0.1) 0-2 @ 4.02% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 2.74% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.32% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 1.62% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.19% Total : 27.32% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 23 | 16 | 5 | 2 | 41 | 17 | 24 | 53 |
2 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 25 | 15 | 6 | 4 | 50 | 27 | 23 | 51 |
3 | Wrexham | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 38 | 20 | 18 | 51 |
4 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 24 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 37 | 19 | 18 | 47 |
5 | Barnsley | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 39 | 33 | 6 | 42 |
6 | Reading | 24 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 39 | 33 | 6 | 41 |
7 | Stockport CountyStockport | 25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 37 | 27 | 10 | 38 |
8 | Leyton Orient | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 32 | 22 | 10 | 37 |
9 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 23 | 11 | 4 | 8 | 31 | 26 | 5 | 37 |
10 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 36 | 37 | -1 | 37 |
11 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 23 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 27 | 21 | 6 | 34 |
12 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 28 | 30 | -2 | 32 |
13 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 31 |
14 | Stevenage | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 31 |
15 | Exeter CityExeter | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 28 | 31 | -3 | 31 |
16 | Blackpool | 24 | 7 | 9 | 8 | 32 | 35 | -3 | 30 |
17 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 21 | 23 | -2 | 27 |
18 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 25 | 6 | 8 | 11 | 24 | 39 | -15 | 26 |
19 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 24 | 7 | 4 | 13 | 41 | 46 | -5 | 25 |
20 | Bristol Rovers | 24 | 7 | 4 | 13 | 22 | 38 | -16 | 25 |
21 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 25 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 26 | 45 | -19 | 20 |
22 | Crawley TownCrawley | 23 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 24 | 43 | -19 | 20 |
23 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 24 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 22 | 43 | -21 | 17 |
24 | Burton Albion | 24 | 2 | 8 | 14 | 20 | 38 | -18 | 14 |
> League One Full Table |