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League One | Gameweek 17
Nov 23, 2024 at 3pm UK
Sixfields Stadium
Cambridge United

Northampton
0 - 0
Cambridge

FT

Lavery (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Northampton Town and Cambridge United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Blackpool 0-0 Northampton
Saturday, November 16 at 3pm in League One

We said: Northampton Town 1-1 Cambridge United

A closely-fought contest between two teams keen to swiftly return to winning ways could be in store on Saturday. Playing at Sixfields may give Northampton a slight psychological edge, but we feel that Cambridge will do just enough to grind out a draw on this occasion. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 48.7%. A win for Cambridge United had a probability of 27.32% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.31%) and 2-0 (7.87%). The likeliest Cambridge United win was 1-2 (6.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Northampton TownDrawCambridge United
48.7% (0.175 0.17) 23.98% (-0.115 -0.11) 27.32% (-0.058 -0.06)
Both teams to score 57.22% (0.34 0.34)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.41% (0.47 0.47)44.59% (-0.468 -0.47)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.04% (0.45399999999999 0.45)66.96% (-0.45100000000001 -0.45)
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.58% (0.25200000000001 0.25)18.42% (-0.25 -0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.42% (0.425 0.42)49.58% (-0.423 -0.42)
Cambridge United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.14% (0.202 0.2)29.86% (-0.201 -0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.04% (0.242 0.24)65.95% (-0.241 -0.24)
Score Analysis
    Northampton Town 48.7%
    Cambridge United 27.32%
    Draw 23.98%
Northampton TownDrawCambridge United
2-1 @ 9.51% (0.013 0.01)
1-0 @ 9.31% (-0.114 -0.11)
2-0 @ 7.87% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-1 @ 5.36% (0.05 0.05)
3-0 @ 4.44% (0.018 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.24% (0.048 0.05)
4-1 @ 2.27% (0.04 0.04)
4-0 @ 1.88% (0.022 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.37% (0.031 0.03)
Other @ 3.44%
Total : 48.7%
1-1 @ 11.24% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-2 @ 5.75% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
0-0 @ 5.5% (-0.112 -0.11)
3-3 @ 1.31% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 23.98%
1-2 @ 6.8% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-1 @ 6.65% (-0.098 -0.1)
0-2 @ 4.02% (-0.037 -0.04)
1-3 @ 2.74% (0.012 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.32% (0.029 0.03)
0-3 @ 1.62% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 27.32%

How you voted: Northampton vs Cambridge

Northampton Town
60.0%
Draw
20.0%
Cambridge United
20.0%
5
Head to Head
Mar 9, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 37
Cambridge
1-1
Northampton
Kachunga (16')
Digby (81')
Guthrie (82')
Brady (82')
Nov 25, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 19
Northampton
2-1
Cambridge
Bowie (49'), Hoskins (55')
McWilliams (42')
Ahadme (77')
Brophy (39'), Digby (79'), Andrew (90')
Digby (80')
Sep 20, 2022 7pm
Nov 16, 2021 7.45pm
First Round Replays
Cambridge
3-1
Northampton
Knibbs (13'), Smith (40'), Worman (48')
Rose (75')
McGowan (82')
Nov 6, 2021 3pm
First Round
Northampton
2-2
Cambridge
Etete (6'), Lewis (35')
Horsfall (12'), McWilliams (87')
Smith (14'), Masterson (66')
Smith (63')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe19134243222143
2Birmingham CityBirmingham18133234161842
3Wrexham20125330131741
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield19113530181236
5Stockport CountyStockport2096532211133
6Reading199463028231
7Barnsley208662926330
8Bolton WanderersBolton189362829-130
9Lincoln CityLincoln207762625128
10Blackpool197572931-226
11Mansfield TownMansfield187472222025
12Stevenage187471517-225
13Peterborough UnitedPeterborough197393735224
14Charlton AthleticCharlton196671819-124
15Exeter CityExeter197391721-424
16Wigan AthleticWigan196581716123
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham186571920-123
18Leyton Orient196491920-122
19Northampton TownNorthampton205692129-821
20Bristol Rovers1963101728-1121
21Crawley TownCrawley1954102032-1219
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge1945102031-1117
23Burton Albion1926111630-1412
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1932141939-2011


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