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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 48.7%. A win for Cambridge United had a probability of 27.32% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.31%) and 2-0 (7.87%). The likeliest Cambridge United win was 1-2 (6.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Northampton Town | Draw | Cambridge United |
48.7% ( 0.17) | 23.98% ( -0.11) | 27.32% ( -0.06) |
Both teams to score 57.22% ( 0.34) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.41% ( 0.47) | 44.59% ( -0.47) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.04% ( 0.45) | 66.96% ( -0.45) |
Northampton Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.58% ( 0.25) | 18.42% ( -0.25) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.42% ( 0.42) | 49.58% ( -0.42) |
Cambridge United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.14% ( 0.2) | 29.86% ( -0.2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.04% ( 0.24) | 65.95% ( -0.24) |
Score Analysis |
Northampton Town | Draw | Cambridge United |
2-1 @ 9.51% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 9.31% ( -0.11) 2-0 @ 7.87% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 5.36% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 4.44% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.24% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 2.27% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 1.88% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.37% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.44% Total : 48.7% | 1-1 @ 11.24% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 5.75% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 5.5% ( -0.11) 3-3 @ 1.31% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.18% Total : 23.98% | 1-2 @ 6.8% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 6.65% ( -0.1) 0-2 @ 4.02% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 2.74% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.32% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 1.62% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.19% Total : 27.32% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 19 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 43 | 22 | 21 | 43 |
2 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 18 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 34 | 16 | 18 | 42 |
3 | Wrexham | 20 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 30 | 13 | 17 | 41 |
4 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 19 | 11 | 3 | 5 | 30 | 18 | 12 | 36 |
5 | Stockport CountyStockport | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 33 |
6 | Reading | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 31 |
7 | Barnsley | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 29 | 26 | 3 | 30 |
8 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 28 | 29 | -1 | 30 |
9 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 28 |
10 | Blackpool | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 26 |
11 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 22 | 0 | 25 |
12 | Stevenage | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 25 |
13 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 37 | 35 | 2 | 24 |
14 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 24 |
15 | Exeter CityExeter | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 24 |
16 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 23 |
17 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 23 |
18 | Leyton Orient | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 22 |
19 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 21 | 29 | -8 | 21 |
20 | Bristol Rovers | 19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 21 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 20 | 32 | -12 | 19 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 20 | 31 | -11 | 17 |
23 | Burton Albion | 19 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 12 |
24 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 19 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 19 | 39 | -20 | 11 |
> League One Full Table |