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League One | Gameweek 15
Nov 9, 2024 at 3pm UK
St. Andrew's Stadium
Northampton Town

Birmingham
1 - 1
Northampton

Stansfield (58')
Allsop (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Pinnock (90+6')
Guthrie (41'), McGeehan (60'), Allsop (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Birmingham City and Northampton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sutton 0-1 Birmingham
Sunday, November 3 at 12.30pm in FA Cup

We said: Birmingham City 2-0 Northampton Town

Back in League One action for the first time in two weeks, Birmingham will be raring to produce a statement performance and regain control at the top of the table. Low on confidence following the FA Cup defeat to Kettering, we are expecting Northampton to cause the hosts little problems in the Second City this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 70.09%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for Northampton Town had a probability of 12.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.19%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.45%), while for a Northampton Town win it was 0-1 (3.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.

Result
Birmingham CityDrawNorthampton Town
70.09% (-0.246 -0.25) 17.84% (0.015000000000001 0.02) 12.07% (0.231 0.23)
Both teams to score 50.54% (0.706 0.71)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.02% (0.538 0.54)39.98% (-0.535 -0.53)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.66% (0.553 0.55)62.34% (-0.553 -0.55)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.76% (0.082999999999998 0.08)10.25% (-0.081 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.41% (0.18600000000001 0.19)33.59% (-0.184 -0.18)
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.31% (0.737 0.74)43.69% (-0.73399999999999 -0.73)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.14% (0.604 0.6)79.87% (-0.604 -0.6)
Score Analysis
    Birmingham City 70.07%
    Northampton Town 12.07%
    Draw 17.84%
Birmingham CityDrawNorthampton Town
2-0 @ 11.61% (-0.21 -0.21)
1-0 @ 10.19% (-0.22 -0.22)
2-1 @ 9.62% (0.026 0.03)
3-0 @ 8.82% (-0.126 -0.13)
3-1 @ 7.31% (0.045 0.04)
4-0 @ 5.03% (-0.053999999999999 -0.05)
4-1 @ 4.16% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
3-2 @ 3.03% (0.079 0.08)
5-0 @ 2.29% (-0.016 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.9% (0.025 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.72% (0.051 0.05)
Other @ 4.41%
Total : 70.07%
1-1 @ 8.45% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.48% (-0.112 -0.11)
2-2 @ 3.98% (0.091 0.09)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 17.84%
0-1 @ 3.71% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-2 @ 3.5% (0.068 0.07)
0-2 @ 1.54% (0.025 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.1% (0.047 0.05)
1-3 @ 0.97% (0.038 0.04)
Other @ 1.27%
Total : 12.07%

How you voted: Birmingham vs Northampton

Birmingham City
82.4%
Draw
11.8%
Northampton Town
5.9%
34
Head to Head
Jul 19, 2023 7.45pm
Club Friendlies
Northampton
0-1
Birmingham
James (31')
Jul 24, 2021 3pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Northampton
3-2
Birmingham
Pinnock (12'), Kabamba (23'), Chukwuemeka (68')
Sanchez (2'), Jutkiewicz (38')
Jul 21, 2015 7.30pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Northampton
2-2
Birmingham
Adams (45', 59')
Gray (3'), Novak (68')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham24175242172556
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe26166452282454
3Wrexham26156538201851
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield25146539211848
5Barnsley2612684036442
6Stockport CountyStockport26118740281241
7Reading2512584036441
8Leyton Orient25115932221038
9Bolton WanderersBolton2511593839-138
10Mansfield TownMansfield2411493228437
11Lincoln CityLincoln269892930-135
12Charlton AthleticCharlton249782925434
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham259792826234
14Blackpool2571083437-331
15Stevenage248791922-331
16Exeter CityExeter2594122832-431
17Wigan AthleticWigan2486102324-130
18Bristol Rovers2584132539-1428
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2575134146-526
20Northampton TownNorthampton2668122440-1626
21Crawley TownCrawley2456132544-1921
22Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2555152645-1920
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge2546152445-2118
24Burton Albion2529142139-1815


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