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League One | Gameweek 15
Nov 9, 2024 at 3pm UK
St. Andrew's Stadium
Northampton Town

Birmingham
1 - 1
Northampton

Stansfield (58')
Allsop (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Pinnock (90+6')
Guthrie (41'), McGeehan (60'), Allsop (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Birmingham City and Northampton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sutton 0-1 Birmingham
Sunday, November 3 at 12.30pm in FA Cup

We said: Birmingham City 2-0 Northampton Town

Back in League One action for the first time in two weeks, Birmingham will be raring to produce a statement performance and regain control at the top of the table. Low on confidence following the FA Cup defeat to Kettering, we are expecting Northampton to cause the hosts little problems in the Second City this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 70.09%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for Northampton Town had a probability of 12.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.19%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.45%), while for a Northampton Town win it was 0-1 (3.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.

Result
Birmingham CityDrawNorthampton Town
70.09% (-0.246 -0.25) 17.84% (0.015000000000001 0.02) 12.07% (0.231 0.23)
Both teams to score 50.54% (0.706 0.71)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.02% (0.538 0.54)39.98% (-0.535 -0.53)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.66% (0.553 0.55)62.34% (-0.553 -0.55)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.76% (0.082999999999998 0.08)10.25% (-0.081 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.41% (0.18600000000001 0.19)33.59% (-0.184 -0.18)
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.31% (0.737 0.74)43.69% (-0.73399999999999 -0.73)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.14% (0.604 0.6)79.87% (-0.604 -0.6)
Score Analysis
    Birmingham City 70.07%
    Northampton Town 12.07%
    Draw 17.84%
Birmingham CityDrawNorthampton Town
2-0 @ 11.61% (-0.21 -0.21)
1-0 @ 10.19% (-0.22 -0.22)
2-1 @ 9.62% (0.026 0.03)
3-0 @ 8.82% (-0.126 -0.13)
3-1 @ 7.31% (0.045 0.04)
4-0 @ 5.03% (-0.053999999999999 -0.05)
4-1 @ 4.16% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
3-2 @ 3.03% (0.079 0.08)
5-0 @ 2.29% (-0.016 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.9% (0.025 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.72% (0.051 0.05)
Other @ 4.41%
Total : 70.07%
1-1 @ 8.45% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.48% (-0.112 -0.11)
2-2 @ 3.98% (0.091 0.09)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 17.84%
0-1 @ 3.71% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-2 @ 3.5% (0.068 0.07)
0-2 @ 1.54% (0.025 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.1% (0.047 0.05)
1-3 @ 0.97% (0.038 0.04)
Other @ 1.27%
Total : 12.07%

How you voted: Birmingham vs Northampton

Birmingham City
82.4%
Draw
11.8%
Northampton Town
5.9%
34
Head to Head
Jul 19, 2023 7.45pm
Club Friendlies
Northampton
0-1
Birmingham
James (31')
Jul 24, 2021 3pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Northampton
3-2
Birmingham
Pinnock (12'), Kabamba (23'), Chukwuemeka (68')
Sanchez (2'), Jutkiewicz (38')
Jul 21, 2015 7.30pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Northampton
2-2
Birmingham
Adams (45', 59')
Gray (3'), Novak (68')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe20135243222144
2Birmingham CityBirmingham18133234161842
3Wrexham21126331141742
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield20123534181639
5Stockport CountyStockport21106534221236
6Lincoln CityLincoln218762825331
7Reading209473030031
8Bolton WanderersBolton199462829-131
9Barnsley208662926330
10Blackpool197572931-226
11Mansfield TownMansfield187472222025
12Stevenage187471517-225
13Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2073103837124
14Charlton AthleticCharlton196671819-124
15Exeter CityExeter197391721-424
16Wigan AthleticWigan196581716123
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham186571920-123
18Leyton Orient196491920-122
19Bristol Rovers2064101829-1122
20Northampton TownNorthampton205692129-821
21Crawley TownCrawley1954102032-1219
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge2045112035-1517
23Burton Albion1926111630-1412
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1932141939-2011


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