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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 58.46%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 19.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.87%) and 2-0 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.23%), while for a Forest Green Rovers win it was 1-2 (5.31%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Peterborough United would win this match.
Result | ||
Peterborough United | Draw | Forest Green Rovers |
58.46% ( 0.06) | 21.78% ( -0.02) | 19.76% ( -0.03) |
Both teams to score 55.31% ( 0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.24% ( 0.06) | 42.76% ( -0.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.84% ( 0.06) | 65.16% ( -0.06) |
Peterborough United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.68% ( 0.04) | 14.33% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.84% ( 0.07) | 42.16% ( -0.07) |
Forest Green Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.56% ( 0) | 35.44% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.8% ( 0.01) | 72.21% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
Peterborough United | Draw | Forest Green Rovers |
2-1 @ 9.94% 1-0 @ 9.87% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.59% 3-1 @ 6.44% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 6.21% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.34% ( 0) 4-1 @ 3.13% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 3.02% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.62% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.22% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.17% ( 0) Other @ 2.93% Total : 58.46% | 1-1 @ 10.23% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.16% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.08% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.16% ( 0) Other @ 0.16% Total : 21.78% | 1-2 @ 5.31% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 5.27% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 2.73% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.84% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.78% 0-3 @ 0.94% ( -0) Other @ 1.89% Total : 19.76% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 16 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 36 | 18 | 18 | 38 |
2 | Wrexham | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 26 | 11 | 15 | 34 |
3 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 28 | 15 | 13 | 33 |
4 | Stockport CountyStockport | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 30 |
5 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 29 |
6 | Barnsley | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 26 | 22 | 4 | 27 |
7 | Reading | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 26 | 24 | 2 | 27 |
8 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 25 | 26 | -1 | 27 |
9 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 23 | 21 | 2 | 26 |
10 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 20 | 17 | 3 | 24 |
11 | Exeter CityExeter | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 14 | 15 | -1 | 23 |
12 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 22 |
13 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 32 | 29 | 3 | 21 |
14 | Bristol Rovers | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 21 |
15 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 20 |
16 | Blackpool | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 24 | 30 | -6 | 20 |
17 | Stevenage | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 19 |
18 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 19 | 23 | -4 | 18 |
19 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 17 |
20 | Crawley TownCrawley | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 15 | 27 | -12 | 16 |
21 | Leyton Orient | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 15 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 25 | -11 | 13 |
23 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 16 | 29 | -13 | 11 |
24 | Burton Albion | 16 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 8 |
> League One Full Table |