League One | Gameweek 46
Apr 27, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
St James Park
Exeter1 - 2Oxford Utd
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Northampton 1-2 Exeter
Saturday, April 20 at 2pm in League One
Saturday, April 20 at 2pm in League One
Last Game: Oxford Utd 1-1 Stevenage
Friday, April 19 at 8pm in League One
Friday, April 19 at 8pm in League One
We said: Exeter City 1-3 Oxford United
While Exeter are coming into this match on a brilliant run of nine games without defeat, the added incentive of a playoff place for Oxford Utd makes us believe they will win this one. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 44.07%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 30.57% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.08%) and 0-2 (7.47%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 1-0 (7.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Oxford United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Exeter City | Draw | Oxford United |
30.57% ( -0.01) | 25.35% ( 0) | 44.07% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 54.81% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
