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Championship header 2

League One
Exeter City
League One | Gameweek 46
Apr 27, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
St James Park
Oxford United

Exeter
1 - 2
Oxford Utd

Alli (52')
Aimson (45+6'), Harris (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Harris (12'), Brannagan (40' pen.)
Stevens (84'), Cumming (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Exeter City and Oxford United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Exeter City

All competitions
Last Game: Northampton 1-2 Exeter
Saturday, April 20 at 2pm in League One

Oxford United

All competitions
Last Game: Oxford Utd 1-1 Stevenage
Friday, April 19 at 8pm in League One

We said: Exeter City 1-3 Oxford United

 While Exeter are coming into this match on a brilliant run of nine games without defeat, the added incentive of a playoff place for Oxford Utd makes us believe they will win this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 44.07%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 30.57% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.08%) and 0-2 (7.47%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 1-0 (7.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Oxford United would win this match.

Result
Exeter CityDrawOxford United
30.57% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01) 25.35% (0.0010000000000012 0) 44.07% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Both teams to score 54.81% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.27% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)48.72% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.16% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)70.83% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.34% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)29.66% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.29% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)65.7% (0.0039999999999907 0)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.92% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)22.07%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.57% (0.0020000000000024 0)55.42% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Score Analysis
    Exeter City 30.57%
    Oxford United 44.07%
    Draw 25.35%
Exeter CityDrawOxford United
1-0 @ 7.96%
2-1 @ 7.31% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-0 @ 4.84%
3-1 @ 2.96% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.24%
3-0 @ 1.96% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.32%
Total : 30.57%
1-1 @ 12.02%
0-0 @ 6.55% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-2 @ 5.52%
3-3 @ 1.13%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.35%
0-1 @ 9.89% (0.0010000000000012 0)
1-2 @ 9.08% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 7.47% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 4.57%
0-3 @ 3.76%
2-3 @ 2.78%
1-4 @ 1.73%
0-4 @ 1.42%
2-4 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 44.07%

How you voted: Exeter vs Oxford Utd

Exeter City
25.0%
Draw
6.3%
Oxford United
68.8%
16
Head to Head
Sep 23, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 9
Oxford Utd
3-0
Exeter
Rodrigues (8'), Brannagan (83' pen., 90+4' pen.)
Long (72')

Aimson (82')
Jan 1, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 25
Oxford Utd
0-1
Exeter
Nombe (79')
> Preview
Nov 26, 2022 3pm
Second Round
Oxford Utd
4-1
Exeter
Taylor (9'), Bodin (79', 88'), Brannagan (85')
Jay (89')
> Preview
Oct 15, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 15
Exeter
2-4
Oxford Utd
Brown (65'), Cox (90+2')
Brannagan (12'), Long (31'), Joseph (44', 54')
> Preview
Dec 4, 2019 7pm
Round of 32
Exeter
0-0
Oxford Utd
(Aggregate 0-0 | Exeter win 3-0 on penalties)
Tillson (30')
Mackie (61')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham24175242172556
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe26166452282454
3Wrexham26156538201851
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield25146539211848
5Barnsley2612684036442
6Stockport CountyStockport26118740281241
7Reading2512584036441
8Leyton Orient25115932221038
9Bolton WanderersBolton26115103941-238
10Charlton AthleticCharlton2510783126537
11Mansfield TownMansfield2411493228437
12Lincoln CityLincoln269892930-135
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham259792826234
14Exeter CityExeter2695122933-432
15Blackpool2571083437-331
16Stevenage248791922-331
17Wigan AthleticWigan2586112426-230
18Bristol Rovers2584132539-1428
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2676134247-527
20Northampton TownNorthampton2668122440-1626
21Crawley TownCrawley2456132544-1921
22Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2555152645-1920
23Burton Albion2639142340-1718
24Cambridge UnitedCambridge2546152445-2118
> League One Full Table


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