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Oxford United
League One | Gameweek 40
Apr 16, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
The Kassam Stadium
Lincoln City

Oxford Utd
0 - 1
Lincoln


Rodrigues (63'), Browne (73'), McGuane (89'), Brannagan (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Mandroiu (47' pen.)
Mitchell (16'), Duffy (20'), O'Connor (49'), Taylor (74'), Mandroiu (79'), House (90+5'), Erhahon (90+6')
Duffy (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Oxford United and Lincoln City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Oxford Utd 5-0 Peterborough
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Lincoln 1-2 Wigan
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in League One

We said: Oxford United 2-0 Lincoln City

Oxford will be looking to do the league double over Lincoln, having run out 2-0 winners in the reverse match earlier this season, and we are backing the home side to secure all three points on Tuesday evening courtesy of the same scoreline. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 46.78%. A win for Lincoln City had a probability of 28.11% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.31%) and 2-0 (8.07%). The likeliest Lincoln City win was 0-1 (7.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.

Result
Oxford UnitedDrawLincoln City
46.78% (0.10100000000001 0.1) 25.11% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02) 28.11% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)
Both teams to score 54.1% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.03% (0.040000000000006 0.04)48.97% (-0.044000000000004 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.94% (0.036000000000001 0.04)71.06% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.04% (0.058999999999997 0.06)20.96% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.28% (0.093999999999994 0.09)53.72% (-0.096999999999994 -0.1)
Lincoln City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.45% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)31.55% (0.038 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.05% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)67.95% (0.044999999999987 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Oxford United 46.77%
    Lincoln City 28.11%
    Draw 25.11%
Oxford UnitedDrawLincoln City
1-0 @ 10.33%
2-1 @ 9.31% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.07% (0.016 0.02)
3-1 @ 4.85% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.21% (0.017 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.8% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.9% (0.01 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.64% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.09% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 46.77%
1-1 @ 11.92% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.61% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.37% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-3 @ 1.08% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.11%
0-1 @ 7.63% (-0.022 -0.02)
1-2 @ 6.88% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.4% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.64% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.07% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 1.69% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 28.11%

How you voted: Oxford Utd vs Lincoln

Oxford United
67.3%
Draw
15.4%
Lincoln City
17.3%
52
Head to Head
Oct 31, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 7
Lincoln
0-2
Oxford Utd
Brown (13'), Jensen (64' og.)
Rodrigues (40'), O'Donkor (89')
Mar 4, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 35
Lincoln
1-0
Oxford Utd
Mandroiu (23' pen.)
Aug 16, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 4
Oxford Utd
1-2
Lincoln
Brannagan (69' pen.)
Seddon (36'), Taylor (38')
Hopper (21'), Scully (45+1')
Roughan (81'), Sorensen (88'), Eyoma (90+2')
Jan 8, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 27
Lincoln
2-0
Oxford Utd
Scully (40'), Whittaker (56')

Taylor (90')
Kane (77')
Aug 28, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 5
Oxford Utd
3-1
Lincoln
Henry (12', 24', 73' pen.)
Scully (87' pen.)
Bridcutt (64')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe19134243222143
2Birmingham CityBirmingham18133234161842
3Wrexham20125330131741
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield19113530181236
5Stockport CountyStockport2096532211133
6Reading199463028231
7Barnsley208662926330
8Bolton WanderersBolton189362829-130
9Lincoln CityLincoln207762625128
10Blackpool197572931-226
11Mansfield TownMansfield187472222025
12Stevenage187471517-225
13Peterborough UnitedPeterborough197393735224
14Charlton AthleticCharlton196671819-124
15Exeter CityExeter197391721-424
16Wigan AthleticWigan196581716123
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham186571920-123
18Leyton Orient196491920-122
19Northampton TownNorthampton205692129-821
20Bristol Rovers1963101728-1121
21Crawley TownCrawley1954102032-1219
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge1945102031-1117
23Burton Albion1926111630-1412
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1932141939-2011


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