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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 41.41%. A win for Lincoln City had a probability of 33.54% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.84%) and 2-0 (6.68%). The likeliest Lincoln City win was 0-1 (7.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Peterborough United | Draw | Lincoln City |
41.41% ( -0.07) | 25.06% ( -0.04) | 33.54% ( 0.12) |
Both teams to score 56.98% ( 0.17) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.58% ( 0.21) | 46.43% ( -0.2) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.29% ( 0.19) | 68.71% ( -0.19) |
Peterborough United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.65% ( 0.06) | 22.35% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.16% ( 0.08) | 55.85% ( -0.07) |
Lincoln City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.39% ( 0.17) | 26.61% ( -0.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.16% ( 0.22) | 61.84% ( -0.22) |
Score Analysis |
Peterborough United | Draw | Lincoln City |
1-0 @ 8.91% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 8.84% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 6.68% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 4.41% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.33% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.92% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.65% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.25% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.09% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.32% Total : 41.41% | 1-1 @ 11.79% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 5.95% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 5.85% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.29% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.05% | 0-1 @ 7.88% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 7.81% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 5.21% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.45% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.58% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 2.3% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.14% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.17% Total : 33.54% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 21 | 15 | 4 | 2 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 49 |
2 | Wrexham | 23 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 35 | 16 | 19 | 48 |
3 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 22 | 14 | 5 | 3 | 47 | 24 | 23 | 47 |
4 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 22 | 13 | 4 | 5 | 36 | 19 | 17 | 43 |
5 | Stockport CountyStockport | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 35 | 24 | 11 | 37 |
6 | Reading | 22 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 36 | 32 | 4 | 37 |
7 | Barnsley | 23 | 10 | 6 | 7 | 34 | 32 | 2 | 36 |
8 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 32 | 31 | 1 | 34 |
9 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 27 | 21 | 6 | 33 |
10 | Leyton Orient | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 28 | 20 | 8 | 31 |
11 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 21 | 9 | 4 | 8 | 27 | 24 | 3 | 31 |
12 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 28 | 29 | -1 | 31 |
13 | Exeter CityExeter | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 26 | 27 | -1 | 31 |
14 | Stevenage | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 29 |
15 | Blackpool | 22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 30 | 33 | -3 | 28 |
16 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 21 | 20 | 1 | 27 |
17 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 24 |
18 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 22 | 7 | 3 | 12 | 39 | 43 | -4 | 24 |
19 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 23 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 23 | 39 | -16 | 22 |
20 | Bristol Rovers | 22 | 6 | 4 | 12 | 19 | 35 | -16 | 22 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 24 | 40 | -16 | 20 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 22 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 21 | 39 | -18 | 17 |
23 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 22 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 23 | 42 | -19 | 16 |
24 | Burton Albion | 22 | 2 | 7 | 13 | 18 | 35 | -17 | 13 |
> League One Full Table |