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Port Vale
League One | Gameweek 39
Mar 16, 2024 at 3pm UK
Vale Park
Oxford United

Port Vale
0 - 2
Oxford Utd


Lowe (20'), Clark (28')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Brown (16'), Murphy (49')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Port Vale and Oxford United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Leyton Orient 0-0 Port Vale
Tuesday, March 12 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Bolton 5-0 Oxford Utd
Tuesday, March 12 at 8pm in League One

We said: Port Vale 1-1 Oxford United

Although Oxford may be favourites due to their current league position, they have struggled to enjoy success in their recent away matches, and with that in mind, we think that the U's will be held to a point in Saturday's clash at Vale Park. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 42.48%. A win for Oxford United had a probability of 32.21% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.94%) and 2-0 (7.06%). The likeliest Oxford United win was 0-1 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.

Result
Port ValeDrawOxford United
42.48% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 25.32% (0.00099999999999767 0) 32.21%
Both teams to score 55.66% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.06% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)47.94% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.88% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)70.12% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Port Vale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.51% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)22.5% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.95% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)56.06% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.82% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)28.18%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.12% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)63.88%
Score Analysis
    Port Vale 42.48%
    Oxford United 32.21%
    Draw 25.31%
Port ValeDrawOxford United
1-0 @ 9.46%
2-1 @ 8.94%
2-0 @ 7.06%
3-1 @ 4.44% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 3.51%
3-2 @ 2.81%
4-1 @ 1.66%
4-0 @ 1.31%
4-2 @ 1.05% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 42.48%
1-1 @ 11.97%
0-0 @ 6.34% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-2 @ 5.66%
3-3 @ 1.19%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.31%
0-1 @ 8.03% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-2 @ 7.59%
0-2 @ 5.08%
1-3 @ 3.2%
2-3 @ 2.39%
0-3 @ 2.15%
1-4 @ 1.01%
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 32.21%

How you voted: Port Vale vs Oxford Utd

Port Vale
50.0%
Draw
33.3%
Oxford United
16.7%
12
Head to Head
Sep 2, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 6
Oxford Utd
1-2
Port Vale
Leigh (90+3')
Leigh (20'), Stevens (90+8')
Harris (62'), Leigh (90+5')
Iacovitti (74'), Devine (90+9' pen.)
Ojo (14'), Massey (62')
Apr 10, 2023 3pm
Nov 12, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 18
Oxford Utd
4-0
Port Vale
Bodin (10', 62'), Taylor (27', 66')
Nov 3, 2017 7.45pm
First Round
Port Vale
2-0
Oxford Utd
Gunning (16'), Pope (53')
Myers-Harness (10'), Denton (36')

Thomas (42'), Martin (89')
Apr 17, 2017 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham27196246192763
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe29178455302559
3Wrexham29167643251855
4Stockport CountyStockport29148744281650
5Huddersfield TownHuddersfield28146841261548
6Leyton Orient281351040251544
7Charlton AthleticCharlton2812883628844
8Reading28135104341244
9Bolton WanderersBolton29135114343044
10Barnsley29127104139243
11Stevenage2711792725240
12Lincoln CityLincoln29109103534139
13Blackpool2891184140138
14Mansfield TownMansfield27114123534137
15Rotherham UnitedRotherham28107113333037
16Wigan AthleticWigan2897122728-134
17Exeter CityExeter2995153346-1332
18Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2886144452-830
19Northampton TownNorthampton2979132845-1730
20Bristol Rovers2784152543-1828
21Burton Albion29510143044-1425
22Crawley TownCrawley2766152748-2124
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2865172848-2023
24Cambridge UnitedCambridge2857162950-2122


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