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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rotherham United win with a probability of 39.95%. A win for Charlton Athletic had a probability of 33.39% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rotherham United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.5%) and 2-0 (7.07%). The likeliest Charlton Athletic win was 0-1 (9.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rotherham United would win this match.
Result | ||
Rotherham United | Draw | Charlton Athletic |
39.95% ( 0.09) | 26.66% ( 0.4) | 33.39% ( -0.49) |
Both teams to score 51.64% ( -1.39) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.7% ( -1.72) | 53.29% ( 1.73) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.15% ( -1.48) | 74.85% ( 1.49) |
Rotherham United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.83% ( -0.74) | 26.17% ( 0.74) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.75% ( -1) | 61.25% ( 1.01) |
Charlton Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.94% ( -1.16) | 30.06% ( 1.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.81% ( -1.42) | 66.19% ( 1.43) |
Score Analysis |
Rotherham United | Draw | Charlton Athletic |
1-0 @ 10.54% ( 0.48) 2-1 @ 8.5% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 7.07% ( 0.18) 3-1 @ 3.8% ( -0.11) 3-0 @ 3.16% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.28% ( -0.14) 4-1 @ 1.27% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 1.06% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.27% Total : 39.94% | 1-1 @ 12.67% ( 0.18) 0-0 @ 7.87% ( 0.52) 2-2 @ 5.11% ( -0.2) 3-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.65% | 0-1 @ 9.46% ( 0.33) 1-2 @ 7.62% ( -0.14) 0-2 @ 5.68% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 3.05% ( -0.16) 0-3 @ 2.28% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 2.05% ( -0.15) 1-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.34% Total : 33.39% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 24 | 17 | 5 | 2 | 42 | 17 | 25 | 56 |
2 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 26 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 52 | 28 | 24 | 54 |
3 | Wrexham | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 38 | 20 | 18 | 51 |
4 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 25 | 14 | 6 | 5 | 39 | 21 | 18 | 48 |
5 | Barnsley | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 40 | 36 | 4 | 42 |
6 | Stockport CountyStockport | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 40 | 28 | 12 | 41 |
7 | Reading | 25 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 40 | 36 | 4 | 41 |
8 | Leyton Orient | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 32 | 22 | 10 | 38 |
9 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 38 | 39 | -1 | 38 |
10 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 32 | 28 | 4 | 37 |
11 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 29 | 30 | -1 | 35 |
12 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 34 |
13 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 28 | 26 | 2 | 34 |
14 | Blackpool | 25 | 7 | 10 | 8 | 34 | 37 | -3 | 31 |
15 | Stevenage | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 31 |
16 | Exeter CityExeter | 25 | 9 | 4 | 12 | 28 | 32 | -4 | 31 |
17 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 23 | 24 | -1 | 30 |
18 | Bristol Rovers | 25 | 8 | 4 | 13 | 25 | 39 | -14 | 28 |
19 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 25 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 41 | 46 | -5 | 26 |
20 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 24 | 40 | -16 | 26 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 25 | 44 | -19 | 21 |
22 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 25 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 26 | 45 | -19 | 20 |
23 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 25 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 24 | 45 | -21 | 18 |
24 | Burton Albion | 25 | 2 | 9 | 14 | 21 | 39 | -18 | 15 |
> League One Full Table |