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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlton Athletic win with a probability of 45.82%. A win for Northampton Town had a probability of 28.82% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Charlton Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.22%) and 0-2 (7.95%). The likeliest Northampton Town win was 1-0 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Charlton Athletic would win this match.
Result | ||
Northampton Town | Draw | Charlton Athletic |
28.82% ( 0.07) | 25.36% ( 0) | 45.82% ( -0.08) |
Both teams to score 53.78% ( 0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.39% ( 0.01) | 49.6% ( -0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.37% ( 0.01) | 71.62% ( -0.02) |
Northampton Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.64% ( 0.06) | 31.35% ( -0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.28% ( 0.07) | 67.71% ( -0.07) |
Charlton Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.35% ( -0.03) | 21.65% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.22% ( -0.05) | 54.77% ( 0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Northampton Town | Draw | Charlton Athletic |
1-0 @ 7.87% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 6.99% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 4.57% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.7% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.07% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 1.77% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.86% Total : 28.82% | 1-1 @ 12.04% 0-0 @ 6.79% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.35% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.05% ( 0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.35% | 0-1 @ 10.38% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 9.22% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 7.95% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 4.7% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 4.05% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.73% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.8% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.55% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.04% ( -0) Other @ 2.39% Total : 45.81% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 24 | 17 | 5 | 2 | 42 | 17 | 25 | 56 |
2 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 26 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 52 | 28 | 24 | 54 |
3 | Wrexham | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 38 | 20 | 18 | 51 |
4 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 25 | 14 | 6 | 5 | 39 | 21 | 18 | 48 |
5 | Barnsley | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 40 | 36 | 4 | 42 |
6 | Stockport CountyStockport | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 40 | 28 | 12 | 41 |
7 | Reading | 25 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 40 | 36 | 4 | 41 |
8 | Leyton Orient | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 32 | 22 | 10 | 38 |
9 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 39 | 41 | -2 | 38 |
10 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 25 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 31 | 26 | 5 | 37 |
11 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 32 | 28 | 4 | 37 |
12 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 29 | 30 | -1 | 35 |
13 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 28 | 26 | 2 | 34 |
14 | Exeter CityExeter | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 29 | 33 | -4 | 32 |
15 | Blackpool | 25 | 7 | 10 | 8 | 34 | 37 | -3 | 31 |
16 | Stevenage | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 31 |
17 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 25 | 8 | 6 | 11 | 24 | 26 | -2 | 30 |
18 | Bristol Rovers | 25 | 8 | 4 | 13 | 25 | 39 | -14 | 28 |
19 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 42 | 47 | -5 | 27 |
20 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 24 | 40 | -16 | 26 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 25 | 44 | -19 | 21 |
22 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 25 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 26 | 45 | -19 | 20 |
23 | Burton Albion | 26 | 3 | 9 | 14 | 23 | 40 | -17 | 18 |
24 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 25 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 24 | 45 | -21 | 18 |
> League One Full Table |