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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlton Athletic win with a probability of 45.82%. A win for Northampton Town had a probability of 28.82% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Charlton Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.22%) and 0-2 (7.95%). The likeliest Northampton Town win was 1-0 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Charlton Athletic would win this match.
Result | ||
Northampton Town | Draw | Charlton Athletic |
28.82% ( 0.07) | 25.36% ( 0) | 45.82% ( -0.08) |
Both teams to score 53.78% ( 0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.39% ( 0.01) | 49.6% ( -0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.37% ( 0.01) | 71.62% ( -0.02) |
Northampton Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.64% ( 0.06) | 31.35% ( -0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.28% ( 0.07) | 67.71% ( -0.07) |
Charlton Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.35% ( -0.03) | 21.65% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.22% ( -0.05) | 54.77% ( 0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Northampton Town | Draw | Charlton Athletic |
1-0 @ 7.87% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 6.99% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 4.57% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.7% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.07% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 1.77% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.86% Total : 28.82% | 1-1 @ 12.04% 0-0 @ 6.79% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.35% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.05% ( 0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.35% | 0-1 @ 10.38% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 9.22% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 7.95% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 4.7% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 4.05% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.73% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.8% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.55% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.04% ( -0) Other @ 2.39% Total : 45.81% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 20 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 43 | 22 | 21 | 44 |
2 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 18 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 34 | 16 | 18 | 42 |
3 | Wrexham | 21 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 31 | 14 | 17 | 42 |
4 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 20 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 34 | 18 | 16 | 39 |
5 | Stockport CountyStockport | 21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 34 | 22 | 12 | 36 |
6 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 21 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 28 | 25 | 3 | 31 |
7 | Reading | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 30 | 30 | 0 | 31 |
8 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 28 | 29 | -1 | 31 |
9 | Barnsley | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 29 | 30 | -1 | 30 |
10 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 28 |
11 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 27 |
12 | Blackpool | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 27 |
13 | Exeter CityExeter | 20 | 8 | 3 | 9 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 27 |
14 | Stevenage | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 26 |
15 | Leyton Orient | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 23 | 20 | 3 | 25 |
16 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 20 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 38 | 37 | 1 | 24 |
17 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 24 |
18 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 23 |
19 | Bristol Rovers | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 22 |
20 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 21 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 20 | 32 | -12 | 19 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 20 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 20 | 35 | -15 | 17 |
23 | Burton Albion | 20 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 17 | 32 | -15 | 12 |
24 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 20 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 21 | 41 | -20 | 12 |
> League One Full Table |