Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Accrington Stanley win with a probability of 37.34%. A win for Colchester United had a probability of 37.33% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Accrington Stanley win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.34%) and 2-0 (5.98%). The likeliest Colchester United win was 0-1 (8.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 12% likelihood.