Coverage of the League Two clash between Newport County and Accrington Stanley.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Newport 3-1 Doncaster
Saturday, August 17 at 3pm in League Two
Saturday, August 17 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Accrington 3-3 Harrogate
Saturday, August 17 at 3pm in League Two
Saturday, August 17 at 3pm in League Two
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 42.39%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 32.27% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.93%) and 2-0 (7.04%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 0-1 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newport County would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Newport County | Draw | Accrington Stanley |
42.39% ( 0.01) | 25.33% ( 0) | 32.27% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 55.63% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
