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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 43.48%. A win for Colchester United has a probability of 30.03% and a draw has a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.86%) and 2-0 (7.89%). The likeliest Colchester United win is 0-1 (8.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.58%).
Result | ||
AFC Wimbledon | Draw | Colchester United |
43.48% ( -0.62) | 26.48% ( 0.39) | 30.03% ( 0.23) |
Both teams to score 50.95% ( -1.09) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.39% ( -1.47) | 53.6% ( 1.46) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.89% ( -1.25) | 75.1% ( 1.25) |
AFC Wimbledon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.52% ( -0.95) | 24.47% ( 0.95) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.07% ( -1.35) | 58.92% ( 1.35) |
Colchester United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.46% ( -0.59) | 32.53% ( 0.59) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.93% ( -0.67) | 69.07% ( 0.67) |
Score Analysis |
AFC Wimbledon | Draw | Colchester United |
1-0 @ 11.2% ( 0.33) 2-1 @ 8.86% ( -0.12) 2-0 @ 7.89% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 4.16% ( -0.18) 3-0 @ 3.7% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 2.33% ( -0.14) 4-1 @ 1.46% ( -0.11) 4-0 @ 1.3% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.58% Total : 43.47% | 1-1 @ 12.58% ( 0.17) 0-0 @ 7.96% ( 0.45) 2-2 @ 4.97% ( -0.15) Other @ 0.96% Total : 26.48% | 0-1 @ 8.94% ( 0.36) 1-2 @ 7.07% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 5.02% ( 0.13) 1-3 @ 2.65% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 1.88% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.86% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.62% Total : 30.03% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 19 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 35 | 19 | 16 | 40 |
2 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 31 | 24 | 7 | 36 |
3 | Port Vale | 20 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 26 | 19 | 7 | 36 |
4 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 20 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 35 |
5 | AFC Wimbledon | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 31 | 16 | 15 | 33 |
6 | Chesterfield | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 35 | 23 | 12 | 31 |
7 | Grimsby Town | 20 | 10 | 1 | 9 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 31 |
8 | MK Dons | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 30 |
9 | Gillingham | 20 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 30 |
10 | Bradford CityBradford | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 28 |
11 | Notts County | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 28 |
12 | Salford City | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 27 |
13 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 29 | 30 | -1 | 27 |
14 | BarrowBarrow | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 26 |
15 | Bromley | 19 | 5 | 9 | 5 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 24 |
16 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 20 | 4 | 11 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 23 |
17 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 24 | 25 | -1 | 23 |
18 | Newport CountyNewport | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 23 |
19 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 20 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 17 | 30 | -13 | 21 |
20 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 21 |
21 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 26 | 34 | -8 | 19 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 20 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 16 |
23 | Morecambe | 20 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 19 | 36 | -17 | 14 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 19 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 32 | -17 | 14 |
> League Two Full Table |