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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 40.35%. A win for Colchester United had a probability of 35.63% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.45%) and 0-2 (5.89%). The likeliest Colchester United win was 2-1 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Colchester United | Draw | MK Dons |
35.63% ( 1.69) | 24.01% ( 0.06) | 40.35% ( -1.75) |
Both teams to score 61.23% ( 0.17) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.89% ( 0.05) | 41.1% ( -0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.5% ( 0.05) | 63.49% ( -0.05) |
Colchester United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.08% ( 0.95) | 22.92% ( -0.95) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.32% ( 1.38) | 56.68% ( -1.38) |
MK Dons Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.43% ( -0.77) | 20.57% ( 0.77) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.9% ( -1.24) | 53.09% ( 1.24) |
Score Analysis |
Colchester United | Draw | MK Dons |
2-1 @ 8.09% ( 0.24) 1-0 @ 6.94% ( 0.18) 2-0 @ 5.12% ( 0.27) 3-1 @ 3.97% ( 0.22) 3-2 @ 3.14% ( 0.1) 3-0 @ 2.51% ( 0.2) 4-1 @ 1.46% ( 0.12) 4-2 @ 1.16% ( 0.07) 4-0 @ 0.93% ( 0.1) Other @ 2.31% Total : 35.64% | 1-1 @ 10.98% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.4% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 4.71% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.66% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.26% Total : 24.01% | 1-2 @ 8.68% ( -0.2) 0-1 @ 7.45% ( -0.2) 0-2 @ 5.89% ( -0.3) 1-3 @ 4.58% ( -0.22) 2-3 @ 3.37% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 3.11% ( -0.24) 1-4 @ 1.81% ( -0.13) 2-4 @ 1.33% ( -0.06) 0-4 @ 1.23% ( -0.13) Other @ 2.89% Total : 40.35% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 33 |
2 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 28 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 28 |
4 | Walsall | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 27 | 15 | 12 | 27 |
5 | MK Dons | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
6 | Notts County | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 27 |
7 | Grimsby Town | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 25 |
8 | AFC Wimbledon | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 13 | 10 | 23 |
9 | Bradford CityBradford | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 23 |
10 | Gillingham | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 23 |
11 | Chesterfield | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 22 |
12 | BarrowBarrow | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 22 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 21 |
14 | Salford City | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Newport CountyNewport | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 20 |
16 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 18 |
17 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 18 |
18 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 18 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 17 |
20 | Bromley | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 16 |
21 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 15 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 14 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 13 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 29 | -15 | 12 |
24 | Morecambe | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 10 |
> League Two Full Table |