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Championship header 2

League Two
Morecambe
League Two | Gameweek 13
Mar 5, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Mazuma Stadium
Crawley Town

Morecambe
1 - 0
Crawley

Slew (68')
Brown (8'), Khumbeni (45+1'), Songo'o (48'), Hiwula (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Wright (10'), Williams (28'), Darcy (73'), Orsi (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Morecambe and Crawley Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Morecambe

All competitions
Last Game: Crewe 2-3 Morecambe
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in League Two

Crawley Town

All competitions
Last Game: Accrington 0-1 Crawley
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Morecambe 1-1 Crawley Town

 With an exceptional defensive record and lengthy recuperation period under their belts, Crawley can feel optimistic of avoiding a third successive loss against Morecambe, whose performances at home often leave a lot to be desired. However, the Shrimps can never be underestimated in the face of adversity, and we think that a contest as tight as the standings would suggest will end all square. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morecambe win with a probability of 38.86%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 35.24% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Morecambe win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.48%) and 2-0 (6.52%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 0-1 (8.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Morecambe in this match.

Result
MorecambeDrawCrawley Town
38.86% (-0.323 -0.32) 25.9% (0.25 0.25) 35.24% (0.076999999999998 0.08)
Both teams to score 54.49% (-0.836 -0.84)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.2% (-1.078 -1.08)49.8% (1.082 1.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.19% (-0.972 -0.97)71.8% (0.97499999999999 0.97)
Morecambe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.85% (-0.661 -0.66)25.15% (0.665 0.66)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.13% (-0.924 -0.92)59.87% (0.928 0.93)
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.79% (-0.468 -0.47)27.2% (0.472 0.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.38% (-0.613 -0.61)62.62% (0.617 0.62)
Score Analysis
    Morecambe 38.86%
    Crawley Town 35.24%
    Draw 25.89%
MorecambeDrawCrawley Town
1-0 @ 9.44% (0.234 0.23)
2-1 @ 8.48% (-0.065 -0.06)
2-0 @ 6.52% (0.037 0.04)
3-1 @ 3.9% (-0.105 -0.11)
3-0 @ 3% (-0.041 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.54% (-0.104 -0.1)
4-1 @ 1.35% (-0.063 -0.06)
4-0 @ 1.04% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 38.86%
1-1 @ 12.29% (0.14 0.14)
0-0 @ 6.84% (0.296 0.3)
2-2 @ 5.52% (-0.116 -0.12)
3-3 @ 1.1% (-0.06 -0.06)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.89%
0-1 @ 8.91% (0.271 0.27)
1-2 @ 8% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.8% (0.101 0.1)
1-3 @ 3.47% (-0.052 -0.05)
0-3 @ 2.52% (0.011 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.4% (-0.083 -0.08)
1-4 @ 1.13% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 35.24%

How you voted: Morecambe vs Crawley

Morecambe
44.4%
Draw
22.2%
Crawley Town
33.3%
9
Head to Head
Feb 3, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 31
Crawley
1-2
Morecambe
Forster (17')
Conroy (42'), Wright (78')
Garner (35', 84')
Tutonda (80'), Harrack (90+4')
Mar 2, 2021 6.30pm
Gameweek 33
Morecambe
3-1
Crawley
Stockton (5'), Mendes Gomes (59', 88')
Nadesan (13')
Oct 17, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 6
Crawley
4-0
Morecambe
Francomb (52'), Watters (67', 71'), Frost (77')
Francomb (54')
Apr 4, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 42
Morecambe
P-P
Crawley
Nov 16, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 18
Crawley
1-1
Morecambe
Lubala (44' pen.)
Stockton (81')
Stockton (42'), Conlan (72')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall22154341192249
2AFC Wimbledon22114733181537
3Notts County22107535241137
4Doncaster RoversDoncaster2310763227537
5Port Vale2310762724337
6Grimsby Town23121103334-137
7Salford City2210662619736
8Crewe AlexandraCrewe229942619736
9Chesterfield2397737271034
10Bradford CityBradford229762824434
11MK Dons219483429531
12Bromley2271053126531
13Gillingham2293102221130
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham238693436-230
15Colchester UnitedColchester2251252623327
16Fleetwood TownFleetwood216962726127
17BarrowBarrow227692122-127
18Newport CountyNewport2275102938-926
19Tranmere RoversTranmere215791630-1422
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2364131935-1622
21Swindon TownSwindon2349102837-921
22Accrington StanleyAccrington2147102738-1119
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2246121734-1718
24Morecambe2345142039-1917
> League Two Full Table


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