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Championship header 2

League Two
Morecambe
League Two | Gameweek 13
Mar 5, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Mazuma Stadium
Crawley Town

Morecambe
1 - 0
Crawley

Slew (68')
Brown (8'), Khumbeni (45+1'), Songo'o (48'), Hiwula (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Wright (10'), Williams (28'), Darcy (73'), Orsi (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Morecambe and Crawley Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Morecambe

All competitions
Last Game: Crewe 2-3 Morecambe
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in League Two

Crawley Town

All competitions
Last Game: Accrington 0-1 Crawley
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Morecambe 1-1 Crawley Town

 With an exceptional defensive record and lengthy recuperation period under their belts, Crawley can feel optimistic of avoiding a third successive loss against Morecambe, whose performances at home often leave a lot to be desired. However, the Shrimps can never be underestimated in the face of adversity, and we think that a contest as tight as the standings would suggest will end all square. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morecambe win with a probability of 38.86%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 35.24% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Morecambe win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.48%) and 2-0 (6.52%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 0-1 (8.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Morecambe in this match.

Result
MorecambeDrawCrawley Town
38.86% (-0.323 -0.32) 25.9% (0.25 0.25) 35.24% (0.076999999999998 0.08)
Both teams to score 54.49% (-0.836 -0.84)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.2% (-1.078 -1.08)49.8% (1.082 1.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.19% (-0.972 -0.97)71.8% (0.97499999999999 0.97)
Morecambe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.85% (-0.661 -0.66)25.15% (0.665 0.66)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.13% (-0.924 -0.92)59.87% (0.928 0.93)
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.79% (-0.468 -0.47)27.2% (0.472 0.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.38% (-0.613 -0.61)62.62% (0.617 0.62)
Score Analysis
    Morecambe 38.86%
    Crawley Town 35.24%
    Draw 25.89%
MorecambeDrawCrawley Town
1-0 @ 9.44% (0.234 0.23)
2-1 @ 8.48% (-0.065 -0.06)
2-0 @ 6.52% (0.037 0.04)
3-1 @ 3.9% (-0.105 -0.11)
3-0 @ 3% (-0.041 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.54% (-0.104 -0.1)
4-1 @ 1.35% (-0.063 -0.06)
4-0 @ 1.04% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 38.86%
1-1 @ 12.29% (0.14 0.14)
0-0 @ 6.84% (0.296 0.3)
2-2 @ 5.52% (-0.116 -0.12)
3-3 @ 1.1% (-0.06 -0.06)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.89%
0-1 @ 8.91% (0.271 0.27)
1-2 @ 8% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.8% (0.101 0.1)
1-3 @ 3.47% (-0.052 -0.05)
0-3 @ 2.52% (0.011 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.4% (-0.083 -0.08)
1-4 @ 1.13% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 35.24%

How you voted: Morecambe vs Crawley

Morecambe
44.4%
Draw
22.2%
Crawley Town
33.3%
9
Head to Head
Feb 3, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 31
Crawley
1-2
Morecambe
Forster (17')
Conroy (42'), Wright (78')
Garner (35', 84')
Tutonda (80'), Harrack (90+4')
Mar 2, 2021 6.30pm
Gameweek 33
Morecambe
3-1
Crawley
Stockton (5'), Mendes Gomes (59', 88')
Nadesan (13')
Oct 17, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 6
Crawley
4-0
Morecambe
Francomb (52'), Watters (67', 71'), Frost (77')
Francomb (54')
Apr 4, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 42
Morecambe
P-P
Crawley
Nov 16, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 18
Crawley
1-1
Morecambe
Lubala (44' pen.)
Stockton (81')
Stockton (42'), Conlan (72')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall27184552282458
2Notts County27138643271647
3Bradford CityBradford27138638271147
4Crewe AlexandraCrewe281211535241147
5Doncaster RoversDoncaster2713773730746
6AFC Wimbledon26136738201845
7Port Vale2712963328545
8Salford City2712783124743
9Chesterfield27109843311239
10Grimsby Town28123133845-739
11MK Dons27115114138338
12Fleetwood TownFleetwood269983531436
13Bromley2781183635135
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham2798103639-335
15Colchester UnitedColchester2771373028234
16Swindon TownSwindon29810113843-534
17Gillingham2695122427-332
18BarrowBarrow2687112628-231
19Accrington StanleyAccrington2678113343-1029
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2985162440-1629
21Newport CountyNewport2676133446-1227
22Tranmere RoversTranmere2768132043-2326
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2756162141-2021
24Morecambe2755172242-2020
> League Two Full Table


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