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Walsall
AFC Wimbledon
League Two | Gameweek 29
Feb 20, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Kingsmeadow
Crawley Town

AFC Wimbledon
0 - 1
Crawley


Tilley (11')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Orsi (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between AFC Wimbledon and Crawley Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: AFC Wimbledon 2-1 Crawley Town

AFC Wimbledon and Crawley finished 21st and 22nd respectively in League Two last season, so there has been huge improvement from both this term, and we are expecting a tight match on Tuesday, but AFC Wimbledon should just have another quality to secure a vital three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 56.73%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 21.75% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.47%) and 2-0 (8.46%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 1-2 (5.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.

Result
AFC WimbledonDrawCrawley Town
56.73% (1.327 1.33) 21.52% (-0.136 -0.14) 21.75% (-1.192 -1.19)
Both teams to score 59.41% (-1.217 -1.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.19% (-0.847 -0.85)38.81% (0.846 0.85)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.88% (-0.896 -0.9)61.12% (0.896 0.9)
AFC Wimbledon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.44% (0.124 0.12)13.55% (-0.125 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.36% (0.25 0.25)40.64% (-0.25 -0.25)
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.73% (-1.508 -1.51)31.27% (1.509 1.51)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.38% (-1.789 -1.79)67.62% (1.79 1.79)
Score Analysis
    AFC Wimbledon 56.73%
    Crawley Town 21.75%
    Draw 21.52%
AFC WimbledonDrawCrawley Town
2-1 @ 9.84% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
1-0 @ 8.47% (0.371 0.37)
2-0 @ 8.46% (0.409 0.41)
3-1 @ 6.56% (0.081 0.08)
3-0 @ 5.64% (0.297 0.3)
3-2 @ 3.81% (-0.113 -0.11)
4-1 @ 3.28% (0.056 0.06)
4-0 @ 2.82% (0.161 0.16)
4-2 @ 1.9% (-0.047 -0.05)
5-1 @ 1.31% (0.028 0.03)
5-0 @ 1.13% (0.069 0.07)
Other @ 3.53%
Total : 56.73%
1-1 @ 9.85% (0.032 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.72% (-0.197 -0.2)
0-0 @ 4.24% (0.167 0.17)
3-3 @ 1.48% (-0.109 -0.11)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 21.52%
1-2 @ 5.72% (-0.225 -0.23)
0-1 @ 4.93% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.86% (-0.126 -0.13)
1-3 @ 2.22% (-0.185 -0.19)
2-3 @ 2.22% (-0.174 -0.17)
0-3 @ 1.11% (-0.098 -0.1)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 21.75%

How you voted: AFC Wimbledon vs Crawley

AFC Wimbledon
87.5%
Draw
4.2%
Crawley Town
8.3%
24
Head to Head
Dec 22, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 23
Crawley
1-2
AFC Wimbledon
Wright (83')
Gladwin (51'), Conroy (69')
Davison (13'), Al-Hamadi (18')
Lewis (15'), Jackson (16'), Reeves (27'), Al-Hamadi (45+3'), Currie (90+8')
Jackson (0'), Lewis (65')
Mar 18, 2023 3pm
Sep 20, 2022 7.45pm
Group Stage
AFC Wimbledon
3-2
Crawley
Hudlin (29' pen.), Assal (75'), Frimpong (78')
Powell (59'), Frimpong (90+6' og.)
Aug 20, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 5
Crawley
0-2
AFC Wimbledon

Omole (25'), Craig (45')
Craig (55')
Young-Coombes (15'), Chislett (45+1')
Davison (37'), Brown (72')
Nov 29, 2020 1.30pm
Second Round
AFC Wimbledon
1-2
Crawley
Pigott (22')
Rudoni (90+4')
Nadesan (30'), Watters (50')
Powell (45+3')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall19124335191640
2Port Vale2010642619736
3Crewe AlexandraCrewe209832416835
4AFC Wimbledon19103631161533
5Doncaster RoversDoncaster209652823533
6Chesterfield2087535231231
7Grimsby Town2010192730-331
8MK Dons1893630201030
9Gillingham209382218430
10Bradford CityBradford197752419528
11Notts County197752521428
12Salford City197662019127
13Cheltenham TownCheltenham217682930-127
14Bromley195952323024
15Fleetwood TownFleetwood185852423123
16Colchester UnitedColchester2041152322123
17BarrowBarrow196581818023
18Newport CountyNewport196582128-723
19Tranmere RoversTranmere195681426-1221
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2063111730-1321
21Accrington StanleyAccrington194782634-819
22Swindon TownSwindon2037102334-1116
23Morecambe2035121936-1714
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1935111532-1714


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