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AFC Wimbledon
League Two | Gameweek 29
Feb 20, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Kingsmeadow
Crawley Town

AFC Wimbledon
0 - 1
Crawley


Tilley (11')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Orsi (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between AFC Wimbledon and Crawley Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: AFC Wimbledon 2-1 Crawley Town

AFC Wimbledon and Crawley finished 21st and 22nd respectively in League Two last season, so there has been huge improvement from both this term, and we are expecting a tight match on Tuesday, but AFC Wimbledon should just have another quality to secure a vital three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 56.73%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 21.75% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.47%) and 2-0 (8.46%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 1-2 (5.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.

Result
AFC WimbledonDrawCrawley Town
56.73% (1.327 1.33) 21.52% (-0.136 -0.14) 21.75% (-1.192 -1.19)
Both teams to score 59.41% (-1.217 -1.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.19% (-0.847 -0.85)38.81% (0.846 0.85)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.88% (-0.896 -0.9)61.12% (0.896 0.9)
AFC Wimbledon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.44% (0.124 0.12)13.55% (-0.125 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.36% (0.25 0.25)40.64% (-0.25 -0.25)
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.73% (-1.508 -1.51)31.27% (1.509 1.51)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.38% (-1.789 -1.79)67.62% (1.79 1.79)
Score Analysis
    AFC Wimbledon 56.73%
    Crawley Town 21.75%
    Draw 21.52%
AFC WimbledonDrawCrawley Town
2-1 @ 9.84% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
1-0 @ 8.47% (0.371 0.37)
2-0 @ 8.46% (0.409 0.41)
3-1 @ 6.56% (0.081 0.08)
3-0 @ 5.64% (0.297 0.3)
3-2 @ 3.81% (-0.113 -0.11)
4-1 @ 3.28% (0.056 0.06)
4-0 @ 2.82% (0.161 0.16)
4-2 @ 1.9% (-0.047 -0.05)
5-1 @ 1.31% (0.028 0.03)
5-0 @ 1.13% (0.069 0.07)
Other @ 3.53%
Total : 56.73%
1-1 @ 9.85% (0.032 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.72% (-0.197 -0.2)
0-0 @ 4.24% (0.167 0.17)
3-3 @ 1.48% (-0.109 -0.11)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 21.52%
1-2 @ 5.72% (-0.225 -0.23)
0-1 @ 4.93% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.86% (-0.126 -0.13)
1-3 @ 2.22% (-0.185 -0.19)
2-3 @ 2.22% (-0.174 -0.17)
0-3 @ 1.11% (-0.098 -0.1)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 21.75%

How you voted: AFC Wimbledon vs Crawley

AFC Wimbledon
87.5%
Draw
4.2%
Crawley Town
8.3%
24
Head to Head
Dec 22, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 23
Crawley
1-2
AFC Wimbledon
Wright (83')
Gladwin (51'), Conroy (69')
Davison (13'), Al-Hamadi (18')
Lewis (15'), Jackson (16'), Reeves (27'), Al-Hamadi (45+3'), Currie (90+8')
Jackson (0'), Lewis (65')
Mar 18, 2023 3pm
Sep 20, 2022 7.45pm
Group Stage
AFC Wimbledon
3-2
Crawley
Hudlin (29' pen.), Assal (75'), Frimpong (78')
Powell (59'), Frimpong (90+6' og.)
Aug 20, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 5
Crawley
0-2
AFC Wimbledon

Omole (25'), Craig (45')
Craig (55')
Young-Coombes (15'), Chislett (45+1')
Davison (37'), Brown (72')
Nov 29, 2020 1.30pm
Second Round
AFC Wimbledon
1-2
Crawley
Pigott (22')
Rudoni (90+4')
Nadesan (30'), Watters (50')
Powell (45+3')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale1610332416833
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe158431913628
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster168442218428
4Walsall1483327151227
5MK Dons168352719827
6Notts County167632315827
7Grimsby Town168171925-625
8Bradford CityBradford166552117423
9Gillingham157261612423
10AFC Wimbledon1371521111022
11Chesterfield165742920922
12BarrowBarrow166461715222
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood145632015521
14Salford City165651518-321
15Newport CountyNewport166281926-720
16Cheltenham TownCheltenham165382125-418
17Harrogate TownHarrogate165381422-818
18Accrington StanleyAccrington154562024-417
19Tranmere RoversTranmere144551017-717
20Bromley153751719-216
21Colchester UnitedColchester152851822-414
22Swindon TownSwindon162771825-713
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1633101429-1512
24Morecambe1624101427-1310


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