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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barrow win with a probability of 53.27%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 22.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barrow win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.91%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.66%), while for a Cheltenham Town win it was 0-1 (7.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barrow would win this match.
Result | ||
Barrow | Draw | Cheltenham Town |
53.27% ( 0.04) | 24.54% ( -0.02) | 22.19% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 50.11% ( 0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.57% ( 0.05) | 51.43% ( -0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.76% ( 0.04) | 73.24% ( -0.05) |
Barrow Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.74% ( 0.03) | 19.26% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.02% ( 0.06) | 50.98% ( -0.06) |
Cheltenham Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.06% ( 0.01) | 37.94% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.29% ( 0.01) | 74.71% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Barrow | Draw | Cheltenham Town |
1-0 @ 12.03% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.91% ( 0) 2-1 @ 9.61% ( 0) 3-0 @ 5.44% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.28% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.56% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.24% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.17% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.05% ( 0) Other @ 2.97% Total : 53.26% | 1-1 @ 11.66% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.31% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.66% ( 0) Other @ 0.91% Total : 24.54% | 0-1 @ 7.08% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.65% ( -0) 0-2 @ 3.43% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.83% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.5% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.11% ( -0) Other @ 1.59% Total : 22.19% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 19 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 35 | 19 | 16 | 40 |
2 | Port Vale | 20 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 26 | 19 | 7 | 36 |
3 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 20 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 35 |
4 | AFC Wimbledon | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 31 | 16 | 15 | 33 |
5 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 28 | 23 | 5 | 33 |
6 | Chesterfield | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 35 | 23 | 12 | 31 |
7 | Grimsby Town | 20 | 10 | 1 | 9 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 31 |
8 | MK Dons | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 30 |
9 | Gillingham | 20 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 30 |
10 | Bradford CityBradford | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 28 |
11 | Notts County | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 28 |
12 | Salford City | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 27 |
13 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 29 | 30 | -1 | 27 |
14 | Bromley | 19 | 5 | 9 | 5 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 24 |
15 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 18 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 24 | 23 | 1 | 23 |
16 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 20 | 4 | 11 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 23 |
17 | BarrowBarrow | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 23 |
18 | Newport CountyNewport | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 23 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 21 |
20 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 20 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 17 | 30 | -13 | 21 |
21 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 26 | 34 | -8 | 19 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 20 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 16 |
23 | Morecambe | 20 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 19 | 36 | -17 | 14 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 19 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 32 | -17 | 14 |
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