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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bradford City win with a probability of 53.28%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Gillingham had a probability of 22.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bradford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.77%) and 2-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.58%), while for a Gillingham win it was 0-1 (6.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bradford City would win this match.
Result | ||
Bradford City | Draw | Gillingham |
53.28% ( 0.11) | 24.35% ( -0.12) | 22.37% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 50.89% ( 0.35) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.5% ( 0.46) | 50.5% ( -0.47) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.57% ( 0.41) | 72.42% ( -0.41) |
Bradford City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.1% ( 0.22) | 18.89% ( -0.22) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.62% ( 0.36) | 50.38% ( -0.37) |
Gillingham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.75% ( 0.26) | 37.25% ( -0.26) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.97% ( 0.26) | 74.03% ( -0.26) |
Score Analysis |
Bradford City | Draw | Gillingham |
1-0 @ 11.72% ( -0.14) 2-0 @ 9.77% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 9.65% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 5.43% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.36% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 2.65% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 2.26% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.23% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.1% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.11% Total : 53.27% | 1-1 @ 11.58% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 7.04% ( -0.13) 2-2 @ 4.77% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.97% Total : 24.35% | 0-1 @ 6.95% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 5.72% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 3.43% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.88% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.57% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 1.13% ( 0) Other @ 1.68% Total : 22.37% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 34 |
2 | Walsall | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 30 | 17 | 13 | 31 |
3 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 21 | 15 | 6 | 30 |
4 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 29 |
5 | Notts County | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 28 |
6 | MK Dons | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
7 | AFC Wimbledon | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 25 | 14 | 11 | 26 |
8 | Chesterfield | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 25 |
9 | Grimsby Town | 17 | 8 | 1 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 25 |
10 | Bradford CityBradford | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 23 |
11 | Gillingham | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 23 |
12 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 22 |
13 | BarrowBarrow | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 22 |
14 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Salford City | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 21 |
16 | Newport CountyNewport | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 21 |
17 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 16 | 23 | -7 | 21 |
18 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 17 | 3 | 9 | 5 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 18 |
19 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 18 |
20 | Bromley | 16 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 17 |
21 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 17 |
22 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 18 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 30 | -15 | 14 |
23 | Swindon TownSwindon | 17 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 13 |
24 | Morecambe | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 29 | -12 | 13 |
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