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Gillingham
League Two | Gameweek 11
Oct 12, 2024 at 3pm UK
Priestfield Stadium (Gillingham, Kent)
Accrington Stanley

Gillingham
1 - 2
Accrington

Little (49')
Little (89')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Woods (60'), Costelloe (90+4')
Love (66'), Walton (85'), Awe (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Gillingham and Accrington Stanley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Crewe 2-0 Gillingham
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Gillingham 2-0 Accrington Stanley

While Gillingham are heading into this game on the back of two successive losses, they should still be confident of securing a victory against an Accrington side that have won just once this term. With the Gills also boasting home advantage, where they have won four and lost one this season, we expect a straightforward win for the hosts. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gillingham win with a probability of 53.59%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 22.98%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gillingham win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.79%) and 2-0 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.07%), while for an Accrington Stanley win it was 0-1 (6.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.

Result
GillinghamDrawAccrington Stanley
53.59% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02) 23.42% (0.0030000000000001 0) 22.98% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 54.59% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.02% (0.0040000000000049 0)45.98% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.71% (0.0030000000000001 0)68.28% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Gillingham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.91% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)17.09% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.71% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)47.28% (0.012 0.01)
Accrington Stanley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.84% (0.016000000000005 0.02)34.16% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.15% (0.016000000000002 0.02)70.85% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Gillingham 53.59%
    Accrington Stanley 22.98%
    Draw 23.41%
GillinghamDrawAccrington Stanley
1-0 @ 10.31%
2-1 @ 9.79%
2-0 @ 9.11% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.76% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 5.36% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-2 @ 3.1%
4-1 @ 2.55% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 2.37% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-2 @ 1.37%
Other @ 3.88%
Total : 53.59%
1-1 @ 11.07%
0-0 @ 5.84%
2-2 @ 5.26% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-3 @ 1.11%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 23.41%
0-1 @ 6.27% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-2 @ 5.95% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 3.37% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 2.13% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 1.88% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 1.21% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 22.98%

How you voted: Gillingham vs Accrington

Gillingham
94.1%
Draw
5.9%
Accrington Stanley
0.0%
17
Head to Head
Jan 13, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 28
Accrington
1-2
Gillingham
Henderson (50')
Gubbins (44'), Shipley (45+1')
Masterson (62'), Bonne (75')
Nichols (45'), Malone (82'), Nichols (90+1')
Aug 12, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 2
Gillingham
1-0
Accrington
Nadesan (29')
Jefferies (4'), Ogie (58'), Ehmer (90')

Andrews (26'), Bagueloc'rich (62')
Mar 26, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 40
Accrington
1-2
Gillingham
Bishop (90+1' pen.)
Adedoyin (62'), Sykes (66')
Kelman (64'), Oliver (73')
Thompson (81')
Oct 30, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 16
Gillingham
0-0
Accrington
Tucker (90+3')
Sykes (62'), Morgan (84')
Jan 16, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 24
Accrington
0-1
Gillingham

Sykes (45'), Nottingham (62')
Dempsey (45+1')
Jackson (80')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Browns
32-41
Broncos
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale1710432517834
2Walsall1694330171331
3Crewe AlexandraCrewe178632115630
4Doncaster RoversDoncaster178542218429
5Notts County177732315828
6MK Dons168352719827
7AFC Wimbledon1682625141126
8Chesterfield1767430201025
9Grimsby Town178181926-725
10Bradford CityBradford166552117423
11Gillingham167271714323
12Fleetwood TownFleetwood155732015522
13BarrowBarrow176471716122
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham176382225-321
15Salford City165651518-321
16Newport CountyNewport176381926-721
17Harrogate TownHarrogate176381623-721
18Colchester UnitedColchester173951922-318
19Accrington StanleyAccrington164662226-418
20Bromley163851921-217
21Tranmere RoversTranmere164571020-1017
22Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1835101530-1514
23Swindon TownSwindon172782028-813
24Morecambe1734101729-1213


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