Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gillingham win with a probability of 39.85%. A win for Tranmere Rovers had a probability of 33.71% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gillingham win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.52%) and 2-0 (6.96%). The likeliest Tranmere Rovers win was 0-1 (9.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gillingham would win this match.