Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colchester United win with a probability of 54.98%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Bolton Wanderers had a probability of 20.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colchester United win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.82%) and 2-1 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.68%), while for a Bolton Wanderers win it was 0-1 (7.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Colchester United would win this match.