Home > Football > League Two
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Doncaster Rovers win with a probability of 41.54%. A win for Gillingham had a probability of 32.35% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Doncaster Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.75%) and 2-0 (7.22%). The likeliest Gillingham win was 0-1 (8.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Doncaster Rovers in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Doncaster Rovers.
Result | ||
Doncaster Rovers | Draw | Gillingham |
41.54% ( -0.28) | 26.11% ( -0.02) | 32.35% ( 0.3) |
Both teams to score 53.1% ( 0.17) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.71% ( 0.17) | 51.28% ( -0.17) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.89% ( 0.15) | 73.11% ( -0.15) |
Doncaster Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.58% ( -0.06) | 24.42% ( 0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.15% ( -0.09) | 58.84% ( 0.09) |
Gillingham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.25% ( 0.29) | 29.74% ( -0.29) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.19% ( 0.35) | 65.81% ( -0.34) |
Score Analysis |
Doncaster Rovers | Draw | Gillingham |
1-0 @ 10.23% ( -0.09) 2-1 @ 8.75% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 7.22% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 4.11% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 3.39% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.49% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.45% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.2% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.69% Total : 41.53% | 1-1 @ 12.41% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.26% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 5.31% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.01% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.1% | 0-1 @ 8.81% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.53% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 5.34% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 3.04% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 2.16% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.15% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 0.92% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.41% Total : 32.35% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 19 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 35 | 19 | 16 | 40 |
2 | Port Vale | 20 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 26 | 19 | 7 | 36 |
3 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 20 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 35 |
4 | AFC Wimbledon | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 31 | 16 | 15 | 33 |
5 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 28 | 23 | 5 | 33 |
6 | Chesterfield | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 35 | 23 | 12 | 31 |
7 | Grimsby Town | 20 | 10 | 1 | 9 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 31 |
8 | MK Dons | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 30 |
9 | Gillingham | 20 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 30 |
10 | Bradford CityBradford | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 28 |
11 | Notts County | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 28 |
12 | Salford City | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 27 |
13 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 29 | 30 | -1 | 27 |
14 | Bromley | 19 | 5 | 9 | 5 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 24 |
15 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 18 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 24 | 23 | 1 | 23 |
16 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 20 | 4 | 11 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 23 |
17 | BarrowBarrow | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 23 |
18 | Newport CountyNewport | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 23 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 21 |
20 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 20 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 17 | 30 | -13 | 21 |
21 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 26 | 34 | -8 | 19 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 20 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 16 |
23 | Morecambe | 20 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 19 | 36 | -17 | 14 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 19 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 32 | -17 | 14 |
> League Two Full Table |