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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Doncaster Rovers win with a probability of 41.54%. A win for Gillingham had a probability of 32.35% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Doncaster Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.75%) and 2-0 (7.22%). The likeliest Gillingham win was 0-1 (8.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Doncaster Rovers in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Doncaster Rovers.
Result | ||
Doncaster Rovers | Draw | Gillingham |
41.54% ( -0.28) | 26.11% ( -0.02) | 32.35% ( 0.3) |
Both teams to score 53.1% ( 0.17) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.71% ( 0.17) | 51.28% ( -0.17) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.89% ( 0.15) | 73.11% ( -0.15) |
Doncaster Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.58% ( -0.06) | 24.42% ( 0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.15% ( -0.09) | 58.84% ( 0.09) |
Gillingham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.25% ( 0.29) | 29.74% ( -0.29) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.19% ( 0.35) | 65.81% ( -0.34) |
Score Analysis |
Doncaster Rovers | Draw | Gillingham |
1-0 @ 10.23% ( -0.09) 2-1 @ 8.75% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 7.22% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 4.11% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 3.39% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.49% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.45% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.2% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.69% Total : 41.53% | 1-1 @ 12.41% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.26% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 5.31% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.01% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.1% | 0-1 @ 8.81% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.53% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 5.34% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 3.04% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 2.16% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.15% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 0.92% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.41% Total : 32.35% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 25 | 18 | 4 | 3 | 52 | 23 | 29 | 58 |
2 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 26 | 12 | 10 | 4 | 34 | 22 | 12 | 46 |
3 | Port Vale | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 32 | 27 | 5 | 44 |
4 | AFC Wimbledon | 24 | 13 | 4 | 7 | 37 | 19 | 18 | 43 |
5 | Notts County | 25 | 12 | 7 | 6 | 41 | 26 | 15 | 43 |
6 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 36 | 30 | 6 | 43 |
7 | Salford City | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 29 | 21 | 8 | 42 |
8 | Bradford CityBradford | 25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 34 | 27 | 7 | 41 |
9 | Grimsby Town | 26 | 12 | 2 | 12 | 37 | 41 | -4 | 38 |
10 | Chesterfield | 25 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 39 | 30 | 9 | 35 |
11 | Bromley | 25 | 8 | 10 | 7 | 35 | 31 | 4 | 34 |
12 | MK Dons | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 38 | 35 | 3 | 34 |
13 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 34 | 38 | -4 | 31 |
14 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 23 | 7 | 9 | 7 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 30 |
15 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 25 | 6 | 12 | 7 | 29 | 28 | 1 | 30 |
16 | Gillingham | 24 | 9 | 3 | 12 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 30 |
17 | BarrowBarrow | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 28 |
18 | Swindon TownSwindon | 27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 33 | 41 | -8 | 28 |
19 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 26 | 8 | 4 | 14 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 28 |
20 | Newport CountyNewport | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 32 | 43 | -11 | 26 |
21 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 32 | 43 | -11 | 25 |
22 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 25 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 18 | 39 | -21 | 25 |
23 | Morecambe | 25 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 22 | 40 | -18 | 20 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 25 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 19 | 39 | -20 | 18 |
> League Two Full Table |