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AFC Wimbledon
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Bradford City
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Carlisle United
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Chesterfield
Colchester United
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Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
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Morecambe
Newport County
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Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Doncaster Rovers
League Two | Gameweek 5
Sep 7, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Keepmoat Stadium
Gillingham

Doncaster
1 - 0
Gillingham

Sharp (30')
Sterry (39')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Nevitt (50')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Doncaster Rovers and Gillingham, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Gillingham 1-2 Peterborough
Tuesday, September 3 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

We said: Doncaster Rovers 2-1 Gillingham

We anticipate a hard-fought encounter between two of League Two's strongest sides on Saturday, and with home advantage and an abundance of quality, Doncaster Rovers could be the team to end Gillingham's unbeaten start. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Doncaster Rovers win with a probability of 41.54%. A win for Gillingham had a probability of 32.35% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Doncaster Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.75%) and 2-0 (7.22%). The likeliest Gillingham win was 0-1 (8.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Doncaster Rovers in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Doncaster Rovers.

Result
Doncaster RoversDrawGillingham
41.54% (-0.277 -0.28) 26.11% (-0.02 -0.02) 32.35% (0.303 0.3)
Both teams to score 53.1% (0.172 0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.71% (0.174 0.17)51.28% (-0.17100000000001 -0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.89% (0.153 0.15)73.11% (-0.14999999999999 -0.15)
Doncaster Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.58% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)24.42% (0.065999999999999 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.15% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)58.84% (0.091999999999999 0.09)
Gillingham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.25% (0.28800000000001 0.29)29.74% (-0.285 -0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.19% (0.346 0.35)65.81% (-0.342 -0.34)
Score Analysis
    Doncaster Rovers 41.53%
    Gillingham 32.35%
    Draw 26.1%
Doncaster RoversDrawGillingham
1-0 @ 10.23% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-1 @ 8.75% (-0.023999999999999 -0.02)
2-0 @ 7.22% (-0.077 -0.08)
3-1 @ 4.11% (-0.018999999999999 -0.02)
3-0 @ 3.39% (-0.043 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.49% (0.008 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.45% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.2% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 41.53%
1-1 @ 12.41% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.26% (-0.05 -0.05)
2-2 @ 5.31% (0.027 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.01% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.1%
0-1 @ 8.81% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.53% (0.052 0.05)
0-2 @ 5.34% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
1-3 @ 3.04% (0.045 0.04)
0-3 @ 2.16% (0.036 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.15% (0.028 0.03)
1-4 @ 0.92% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 32.35%

How you voted: Doncaster vs Gillingham

Doncaster Rovers
67.6%
Draw
8.8%
Gillingham
23.5%
34
Head to Head
Apr 27, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 46
Gillingham
2-2
Doncaster
Dieng (57'), Anderson (62' og.)
Andrews (13'), Clemence (14'), Ehmer (71')
Ironside (30'), Molyneux (37')
Craig (77')
Lo-Tutala (55')
Sep 23, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 9
Doncaster
2-1
Gillingham
Close (12', 87')
Biggins (34'), Ironside (90')
Masterson (45+2')
Coleman (53'), Malone (90+5')
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall19124335191640
2Port Vale2010642619736
3Crewe AlexandraCrewe209832416835
4AFC Wimbledon19103631161533
5Doncaster RoversDoncaster209652823533
6Chesterfield2087535231231
7Grimsby Town2010192730-331
8MK Dons1893630201030
9Gillingham209382218430
10Bradford CityBradford197752419528
11Notts County197752521428
12Salford City197662019127
13Cheltenham TownCheltenham217682930-127
14Bromley195952323024
15Fleetwood TownFleetwood185852423123
16Colchester UnitedColchester2041152322123
17BarrowBarrow196581818023
18Newport CountyNewport196582128-723
19Tranmere RoversTranmere195681426-1221
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2063111730-1321
21Accrington StanleyAccrington194782634-819
22Swindon TownSwindon2037102334-1116
23Morecambe2035121936-1714
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1935111532-1714


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