MX23RW : Monday, December 23 04:24:31| >> :300:86500:86500:
AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Exeter City
League Two | Gameweek 17
Nov 20, 2021 at 3pm UK
St James Park
Carlisle United

Exeter
2 - 1
Carlisle

Nombe (60'), Caprice (80')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Gibson (84')
Howard (60')
Mellish (43')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Exeter City and Carlisle United.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 44.73%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 28.62% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.91%) and 2-0 (8.31%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 0-1 (8.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Exeter City would win this match.

Result
Exeter CityDrawCarlisle United
44.73%26.65%28.62%
Both teams to score 49.69%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.13%54.87%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.84%76.16%
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.58%24.42%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.15%58.85%
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.74%34.26%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.04%70.96%
Score Analysis
    Exeter City 44.73%
    Carlisle United 28.62%
    Draw 26.65%
Exeter CityDrawCarlisle United
1-0 @ 11.79%
2-1 @ 8.91%
2-0 @ 8.31%
3-1 @ 4.19%
3-0 @ 3.91%
3-2 @ 2.24%
4-1 @ 1.48%
4-0 @ 1.38%
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 44.73%
1-1 @ 12.63%
0-0 @ 8.37%
2-2 @ 4.77%
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 26.65%
0-1 @ 8.96%
1-2 @ 6.77%
0-2 @ 4.8%
1-3 @ 2.42%
0-3 @ 1.71%
2-3 @ 1.7%
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 28.62%

Head to Head
Jan 30, 2021 1pm
Gameweek 27
Carlisle
1-0
Exeter
Alessandra (9')
Anderton (90+2')

Parkes (83')
Oct 31, 2020 1pm
Gameweek 10
Exeter
1-0
Carlisle
Parkes (48')
Sparkes (53')

Toure (60')
Apr 18, 2020 3pm
Sep 7, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 7
Carlisle
1-3
Exeter
Olomola (61')
McKirdy (71'), Sagaf (73')
Martin (36'), Martin (67'), Law (91')
Feb 9, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 32
Carlisle
1-1
Exeter
Devitt (78')
Parkes (18'), Devitt (22')
Law (19')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall20134337191843
2Port Vale2110742619737
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster2110653124736
4Crewe AlexandraCrewe209832416835
5Chesterfield2197536231334
6AFC Wimbledon20103731171433
7Notts County208752821731
8Grimsby Town21101102833-531
9MK Dons199373326730
10Gillingham209382218430
11Salford City208662219330
12Bradford CityBradford207762422228
13Bromley206952523227
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham217682930-127
15BarrowBarrow207582018226
16Newport CountyNewport207582731-426
17Colchester UnitedColchester2041152322123
18Fleetwood TownFleetwood195862425-123
19Tranmere RoversTranmere205691529-1421
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2163121732-1521
21Swindon TownSwindon2147102635-919
22Accrington StanleyAccrington204792636-1019
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2036111532-1715
24Morecambe2135131938-1914


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!