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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 41.93%. A win for Newport County has a probability of 32.85% and a draw has a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win is 0-1 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.89%) and 0-2 (6.88%). The likeliest Newport County win is 1-0 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.91%).
Result | ||
Newport County | Draw | Grimsby Town |
32.85% ( 4.93) | 25.23% ( 0.37) | 41.93% ( -5.3) |
Both teams to score 56.19% ( 1.42) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.65% ( 0.67) | 47.35% ( -0.67) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.43% ( 0.62) | 69.57% ( -0.62) |
Newport County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.51% ( 3.72) | 27.48% ( -3.72) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.02% ( 4.56) | 62.98% ( -4.56) |
Grimsby Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.49% ( -2.12) | 22.5% ( 2.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.93% ( -3.27) | 56.07% ( 3.27) |
Score Analysis |
Newport County | Draw | Grimsby Town |
1-0 @ 7.99% ( 0.58) 2-1 @ 7.69% ( 0.83) 2-0 @ 5.16% ( 0.85) 3-1 @ 3.31% ( 0.65) 3-2 @ 2.47% ( 0.35) 3-0 @ 2.22% ( 0.55) 4-1 @ 1.07% ( 0.3) Other @ 2.93% Total : 32.85% | 1-1 @ 11.91% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 6.19% ( -0.18) 2-2 @ 5.74% ( 0.28) 3-3 @ 1.23% ( 0.11) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.22% | 0-1 @ 9.23% ( -0.89) 1-2 @ 8.89% ( -0.48) 0-2 @ 6.88% ( -1.17) 1-3 @ 4.42% ( -0.55) 0-3 @ 3.42% ( -0.85) 2-3 @ 2.85% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 1.65% ( -0.33) 0-4 @ 1.28% ( -0.42) 2-4 @ 1.06% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.26% Total : 41.93% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 23 | 16 | 7 | 30 |
2 | Walsall | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 27 | 15 | 12 | 27 |
3 | Notts County | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 23 | 13 | 10 | 27 |
4 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 27 |
5 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 17 | 13 | 4 | 25 |
6 | MK Dons | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 24 | 17 | 7 | 24 |
7 | Grimsby Town | 15 | 8 | 0 | 7 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 24 |
8 | Gillingham | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 23 |
9 | Chesterfield | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 28 | 18 | 10 | 22 |
10 | Bradford CityBradford | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 22 |
11 | BarrowBarrow | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 22 |
12 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 21 |
13 | Salford City | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 20 |
14 | AFC Wimbledon | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 18 | 10 | 8 | 19 |
15 | Newport CountyNewport | 15 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 19 |
16 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 18 |
17 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 17 |
18 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 16 |
19 | Bromley | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 15 |
20 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 15 |
21 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 14 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 13 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 23 | -7 | 12 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 13 | 28 | -15 | 11 |
24 | Morecambe | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 10 |
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