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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 41.93%. A win for Newport County had a probability of 32.85% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.89%) and 0-2 (6.88%). The likeliest Newport County win was 1-0 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Newport County | Draw | Grimsby Town |
32.85% ( 0.16) | 25.23% ( 0.06) | 41.93% ( -0.22) |
Both teams to score 56.19% ( -0.16) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.65% ( -0.23) | 47.35% ( 0.22) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.43% ( -0.21) | 69.57% ( 0.2) |
Newport County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.51% ( -0.01) | 27.48% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.02% ( -0.01) | 62.98% ( 0.01) |
Grimsby Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.49% ( -0.2) | 22.5% ( 0.2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.93% ( -0.31) | 56.07% ( 0.3) |
Score Analysis |
Newport County | Draw | Grimsby Town |
1-0 @ 7.99% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 7.69% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 5.16% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 3.31% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.47% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.22% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.07% ( 0) Other @ 2.93% Total : 32.85% | 1-1 @ 11.91% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 6.19% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 5.74% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.22% | 0-1 @ 9.23% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 8.89% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 6.88% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 4.42% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 3.42% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.85% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.65% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.28% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.06% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.26% Total : 41.93% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 19 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 35 | 19 | 16 | 40 |
2 | Port Vale | 20 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 26 | 19 | 7 | 36 |
3 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 19 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 34 |
4 | AFC Wimbledon | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 31 | 16 | 15 | 33 |
5 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 28 | 23 | 5 | 33 |
6 | Chesterfield | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 35 | 23 | 12 | 31 |
7 | Grimsby Town | 20 | 10 | 1 | 9 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 31 |
8 | MK Dons | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 30 |
9 | Gillingham | 19 | 9 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 29 |
10 | Bradford CityBradford | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 28 |
11 | Notts County | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 28 |
12 | Salford City | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 27 |
13 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 26 |
14 | Bromley | 19 | 5 | 9 | 5 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 24 |
15 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 18 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 24 | 23 | 1 | 23 |
16 | BarrowBarrow | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 23 |
17 | Newport CountyNewport | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 23 |
18 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 19 | 4 | 10 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 22 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 21 |
20 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 20 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 17 | 30 | -13 | 21 |
21 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 26 | 34 | -8 | 19 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 20 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 16 |
23 | Morecambe | 20 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 19 | 36 | -17 | 14 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 19 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 32 | -17 | 14 |
> League Two Full Table |