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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Harrogate Town win with a probability of 37.91%. A win for Tranmere Rovers had a probability of 36.91% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Harrogate Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.42%) and 2-0 (6.02%). The likeliest Tranmere Rovers win was 0-1 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Harrogate Town | Draw | Tranmere Rovers |
37.91% ( -0.43) | 25.18% ( -0.15) | 36.91% ( 0.59) |
Both teams to score 57.12% ( 0.58) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.51% ( 0.73) | 46.49% ( -0.73) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.23% ( 0.68) | 68.76% ( -0.68) |
Harrogate Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.85% ( 0.1) | 24.15% ( -0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.53% ( 0.14) | 58.47% ( -0.14) |
Tranmere Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.3% ( 0.66) | 24.69% ( -0.66) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.77% ( 0.92) | 59.23% ( -0.92) |
Score Analysis |
Harrogate Town | Draw | Tranmere Rovers |
1-0 @ 8.47% ( -0.24) 2-1 @ 8.42% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 6.02% ( -0.15) 3-1 @ 3.99% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.85% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 2.79% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 1.42% 4-0 @ 1.01% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 0.99% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.95% Total : 37.91% | 1-1 @ 11.85% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 5.96% ( -0.19) 2-2 @ 5.89% ( 0.08) 3-3 @ 1.3% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.18% | 0-1 @ 8.34% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 8.29% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 5.83% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 3.86% ( 0.11) 2-3 @ 2.75% ( 0.09) 0-3 @ 2.72% ( 0.07) 1-4 @ 1.35% ( 0.06) 2-4 @ 0.96% ( 0.05) 0-4 @ 0.95% ( 0.04) Other @ 1.86% Total : 36.91% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 33 |
2 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 28 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 28 |
4 | Walsall | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 27 | 15 | 12 | 27 |
5 | MK Dons | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
6 | Notts County | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 27 |
7 | Grimsby Town | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 25 |
8 | AFC Wimbledon | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 13 | 10 | 23 |
9 | Bradford CityBradford | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 23 |
10 | Gillingham | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 23 |
11 | Chesterfield | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 22 |
12 | BarrowBarrow | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 22 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 21 |
14 | Salford City | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Newport CountyNewport | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 20 |
16 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 18 |
17 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 18 |
18 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 18 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 17 |
20 | Bromley | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 16 |
21 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 15 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 14 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 13 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 29 | -15 | 12 |
24 | Morecambe | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 10 |
> League Two Full Table |