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Championship header 2

League Two
Wrexham AFC
League Two | Gameweek 28
Jan 13, 2024 at 3pm UK
Poolfoot Farm
AFC Wimbledon

Wrexham
2 - 0
AFC Wimbledon

Fletcher (61'), Mullin (69')
Lee (85')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Currie (21')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Wrexham and AFC Wimbledon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Wrexham

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Shrewsbury 0-1 Wrexham
Sunday, January 7 at 2pm in FA Cup

AFC Wimbledon

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 2-0 Oxford Utd
Tuesday, January 9 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy

We said: Wrexham 2-0 AFC Wimbledon

 With Wimbledon missing some key players through injury, suspension and international call-ups, we are struggling to see beyond Wrexham extending their impressive winning streak at the Racecourse Ground. Parkinson's side are playing like a team primed for back-to-back promotions at present, and it would be little surprise to see them competing in League One next season given the quality of players at their disposal. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 46.9%. A win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 29.75% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.86%) and 2-0 (6.88%). The likeliest AFC Wimbledon win was 1-2 (7.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Wrexham in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Wrexham.

Result
WrexhamDrawAFC Wimbledon
46.9% (0.053000000000004 0.05) 23.34% (0.012999999999998 0.01) 29.75% (-0.061 -0.06)
Both teams to score 61.27% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.96% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)40.04% (0.092999999999996 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.59% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)62.41% (0.097000000000001 0.1)
Wrexham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.64% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)17.36% (0.016000000000002 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.24% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)47.76% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
AFC Wimbledon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.14% (-0.081999999999994 -0.08)25.86% (0.087 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.17% (-0.11499999999999 -0.11)60.83% (0.119 0.12)
Score Analysis
    Wrexham 46.9%
    AFC Wimbledon 29.75%
    Draw 23.34%
WrexhamDrawAFC Wimbledon
2-1 @ 9.31% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-0 @ 7.86% (0.029 0.03)
2-0 @ 6.88% (0.022 0.02)
3-1 @ 5.43% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 4.02% (0.011 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.67% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.38%
4-0 @ 1.76% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 1.61% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 3.99%
Total : 46.9%
1-1 @ 10.63% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-2 @ 6.3% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.49% (0.019 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.66% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 23.34%
1-2 @ 7.19% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
0-1 @ 6.07% (0.011 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.11% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 3.24% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.84% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.85% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-4 @ 1.1% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
2-4 @ 0.96% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 29.75%

How you voted: Wrexham vs AFC Wimbledon

Wrexham
92.9%
Draw
0.0%
AFC Wimbledon
7.1%
14
Head to Head
Aug 12, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 2
AFC Wimbledon
1-1
Wrexham
Tilley (81' pen.)
Bugiel (40'), Jackson (41'), Lewis (48'), Pell (75')
Lee (22')
Boyle (56'), Lee (75')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall36208865412468
2Bradford CityBradford36199848301866
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster361881053431062
4AFC Wimbledon35179946232360
5Notts County351610953371658
6Port Vale34151364335858
7Crewe AlexandraCrewe36141484437756
8Grimsby Town35175135151056
9Colchester UnitedColchester35121674032852
10Bromley361312114643351
11Salford City351311114337650
12Fleetwood TownFleetwood361213114943649
13Swindon TownSwindon361113125252046
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham351210134650-446
15Chesterfield34129135243945
16BarrowBarrow35127163841-343
17Newport CountyNewport35127164556-1143
18MK Dons35126174650-442
19Gillingham35118163038-841
20Harrogate TownHarrogate36117182945-1640
21Accrington StanleyAccrington3599173954-1536
22Tranmere RoversTranmere36712172755-2833
23Morecambe3685233154-2329
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle3569202551-2627
> League Two Full Table


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