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Championship header 2

League Two
Wrexham AFC
League Two | Gameweek 28
Jan 13, 2024 at 3pm UK
Poolfoot Farm
AFC Wimbledon

Wrexham
2 - 0
AFC Wimbledon

Fletcher (61'), Mullin (69')
Lee (85')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Currie (21')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Wrexham and AFC Wimbledon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Wrexham

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Shrewsbury 0-1 Wrexham
Sunday, January 7 at 2pm in FA Cup

AFC Wimbledon

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 2-0 Oxford Utd
Tuesday, January 9 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy

We said: Wrexham 2-0 AFC Wimbledon

 With Wimbledon missing some key players through injury, suspension and international call-ups, we are struggling to see beyond Wrexham extending their impressive winning streak at the Racecourse Ground. Parkinson's side are playing like a team primed for back-to-back promotions at present, and it would be little surprise to see them competing in League One next season given the quality of players at their disposal. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 46.9%. A win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 29.75% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.86%) and 2-0 (6.88%). The likeliest AFC Wimbledon win was 1-2 (7.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Wrexham in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Wrexham.

Result
WrexhamDrawAFC Wimbledon
46.9% (0.053000000000004 0.05) 23.34% (0.012999999999998 0.01) 29.75% (-0.061 -0.06)
Both teams to score 61.27% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.96% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)40.04% (0.092999999999996 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.59% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)62.41% (0.097000000000001 0.1)
Wrexham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.64% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)17.36% (0.016000000000002 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.24% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)47.76% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
AFC Wimbledon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.14% (-0.081999999999994 -0.08)25.86% (0.087 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.17% (-0.11499999999999 -0.11)60.83% (0.119 0.12)
Score Analysis
    Wrexham 46.9%
    AFC Wimbledon 29.75%
    Draw 23.34%
WrexhamDrawAFC Wimbledon
2-1 @ 9.31% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-0 @ 7.86% (0.029 0.03)
2-0 @ 6.88% (0.022 0.02)
3-1 @ 5.43% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 4.02% (0.011 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.67% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.38%
4-0 @ 1.76% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 1.61% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 3.99%
Total : 46.9%
1-1 @ 10.63% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-2 @ 6.3% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.49% (0.019 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.66% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 23.34%
1-2 @ 7.19% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
0-1 @ 6.07% (0.011 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.11% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 3.24% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.84% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.85% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-4 @ 1.1% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
2-4 @ 0.96% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 29.75%

How you voted: Wrexham vs AFC Wimbledon

Wrexham
92.9%
Draw
0.0%
AFC Wimbledon
7.1%
14
Head to Head
Aug 12, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 2
AFC Wimbledon
1-1
Wrexham
Tilley (81' pen.)
Bugiel (40'), Jackson (41'), Lewis (48'), Pell (75')
Lee (22')
Boyle (56'), Lee (75')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall25184352232958
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe261210434221246
3Port Vale2612863227544
4AFC Wimbledon24134737191843
5Notts County25127641261543
6Doncaster RoversDoncaster2612773630643
7Salford City2512672921842
8Bradford CityBradford2511863427741
9Grimsby Town26122123741-438
10Chesterfield259883930935
11Bromley2581073531434
12MK Dons24104103835334
13Cheltenham TownCheltenham2587103438-431
14Fleetwood TownFleetwood237973028230
15Colchester UnitedColchester2561272928130
16Gillingham2493122225-330
17BarrowBarrow2577112328-528
18Swindon TownSwindon27610113341-828
19Harrogate TownHarrogate2684142337-1428
20Newport CountyNewport2475123243-1126
21Accrington StanleyAccrington2467113243-1125
22Tranmere RoversTranmere2567121839-2125
23Morecambe2555152240-1820
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2546151939-2018
> League Two Full Table


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