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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 53.45%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 22.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.75%) and 0-2 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.29%), while for a Harrogate Town win it was 1-0 (6.55%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Port Vale in this match.
Result | ||
Harrogate Town | Draw | Port Vale |
22.76% ( -0) | 23.79% ( -0) | 53.45% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 53.12% ( 0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.21% ( 0.01) | 47.79% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.02% ( 0.01) | 69.97% ( -0.01) |
Harrogate Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.63% ( 0) | 35.36% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.87% ( 0) | 72.12% ( -0) |
Port Vale Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.19% ( 0) | 17.81% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.46% ( 0.01) | 48.54% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Harrogate Town | Draw | Port Vale |
1-0 @ 6.55% ( -0) 2-1 @ 5.87% ( -0) 2-0 @ 3.4% 3-1 @ 2.03% 3-2 @ 1.76% 3-0 @ 1.18% Other @ 1.97% Total : 22.76% | 1-1 @ 11.29% 0-0 @ 6.3% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.07% 3-3 @ 1.01% Other @ 0.12% Total : 23.78% | 0-1 @ 10.86% 1-2 @ 9.75% 0-2 @ 9.38% 1-3 @ 5.61% ( 0) 0-3 @ 5.39% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.91% ( 0) 1-4 @ 2.42% ( 0) 0-4 @ 2.33% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.26% ( 0) Other @ 3.55% Total : 53.44% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 19 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 35 | 19 | 16 | 40 |
2 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 31 | 24 | 7 | 36 |
3 | Port Vale | 20 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 26 | 19 | 7 | 36 |
4 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 20 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 35 |
5 | AFC Wimbledon | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 31 | 16 | 15 | 33 |
6 | Chesterfield | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 35 | 23 | 12 | 31 |
7 | Grimsby Town | 20 | 10 | 1 | 9 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 31 |
8 | MK Dons | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 30 |
9 | Gillingham | 20 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 30 |
10 | Bradford CityBradford | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 28 |
11 | Notts County | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 28 |
12 | Salford City | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 27 |
13 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 29 | 30 | -1 | 27 |
14 | BarrowBarrow | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 26 |
15 | Bromley | 19 | 5 | 9 | 5 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 24 |
16 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 20 | 4 | 11 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 23 |
17 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 24 | 25 | -1 | 23 |
18 | Newport CountyNewport | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 23 |
19 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 20 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 17 | 30 | -13 | 21 |
20 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 21 |
21 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 26 | 34 | -8 | 19 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 20 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 16 |
23 | Morecambe | 20 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 19 | 36 | -17 | 14 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 19 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 32 | -17 | 14 |
> League Two Full Table |