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Championship header 2

League Two
Swindon Town
League Two | Gameweek 41
Mar 29, 2024 at 3pm UK
County Ground
Notts County

Swindon
2 - 1
Notts County

Drinan (19'), Glatzel (73')
Aguiar (23'), Kokolo (72'), Blake-Tracy (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Jatta (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League Two clash between Swindon Town and Notts County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Swindon Town

All competitions
Last Game: Swindon 1-2 Doncaster
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in League Two

Notts County

All competitions
Last Game: Notts County 1-2 Salford City
Saturday, March 23 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Swindon Town 0-2 Notts County

 Both teams have struggled with putting together consistent performances this season, which is reflected by their current league standings. However, Notts County does head into the game as the favourites despite losing their most recent outing, with the team boasting enough quality to get the job done here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 44.5%. A win for Notts County had a probability of 33.28% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.86%) and 2-0 (5.47%). The likeliest Notts County win was 1-2 (7.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Swindon Town in this match.

Result
Swindon TownDrawNotts County
44.5% (0.11199999999999 0.11) 22.22% (-0.032 -0.03) 33.28% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)
Both teams to score 67.37% (0.10599999999999 0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.19% (0.148 0.15)32.81% (-0.142 -0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.49% (0.171 0.17)54.51% (-0.166 -0.17)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.54% (0.099999999999994 0.1)15.46% (-0.096 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.68% (0.182 0.18)44.33% (-0.176 -0.18)
Notts County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.69% (0.033000000000001 0.03)20.31% (-0.029 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.32% (0.048999999999999 0.05)52.68% (-0.044999999999995 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Swindon Town 44.5%
    Notts County 33.28%
    Draw 22.22%
Swindon TownDrawNotts County
2-1 @ 8.72% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
1-0 @ 5.86% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
2-0 @ 5.47% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.43% (0.018 0.02)
3-2 @ 4.33% (0.018 0.02)
3-0 @ 3.41% (0.008 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.53% (0.017 0.02)
4-2 @ 2.02% (0.015 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.59% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-3 @ 1.07% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
5-1 @ 0.95% (0.0099999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 44.5%
1-1 @ 9.35% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
2-2 @ 6.95% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 3.14% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-3 @ 2.3% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 0.48%
Total : 22.22%
1-2 @ 7.45% (-0.018999999999999 -0.02)
0-1 @ 5.01% (-0.034 -0.03)
0-2 @ 3.99% (-0.023 -0.02)
1-3 @ 3.96% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.69% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.12% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.58% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
2-4 @ 1.47% (0.004 0)
3-4 @ 0.92% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 33.28%

How you voted: Swindon vs Notts County

Swindon Town
55.6%
Draw
11.1%
Notts County
33.3%
9
Head to Head
Oct 3, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 11
Notts County
3-1
Swindon
McGoldrick (10'), Langstaff (35' pen.), Crowley (37')
Bostock (12'), O'Brien (83'), Jones (90+1')
Shade (49')
Shade (56'), Hepburn-Murphy (72')
May 4, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 46
Swindon
3-1
Notts County
Woolery (69'), Robinson (74', 92')
Doughty (38')
Hemmings (52' pen.)
> Match Report
Oct 27, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 16
Notts County
1-2
Swindon
Hemmings (40')
Hewitt (43'), Milsom (55'), Stead (65')
Alzate (65'), Turley (80' og.)
McCourt (15'), Nelson (43'), Knoyle (90'), Adebayo (90')
Dec 30, 2017 3pm
Swindon
1-0
Notts County
Norris (47')
Dunne (90')

Brisley (17'), Grant (90')
Sep 12, 2017 7.45pm
Notts County
1-0
Swindon
Stead (32' pen.)

Norris (33')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall25184352232958
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe261210434221246
3Port Vale2612863227544
4AFC Wimbledon24134737191843
5Notts County25127641261543
6Doncaster RoversDoncaster2612773630643
7Salford City2512672921842
8Bradford CityBradford2511863427741
9Grimsby Town26122123741-438
10Chesterfield259883930935
11Bromley2581073531434
12MK Dons25104113937234
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood248973229333
14Colchester UnitedColchester2671273028233
15Cheltenham TownCheltenham2587103438-431
16Gillingham2493122225-330
17BarrowBarrow2577112328-528
18Swindon TownSwindon27610113341-828
19Harrogate TownHarrogate2784152338-1528
20Newport CountyNewport2475123243-1126
21Accrington StanleyAccrington2467113243-1125
22Tranmere RoversTranmere2567121839-2125
23Morecambe2555152240-1820
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2546151939-2018
> League Two Full Table


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