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Swindon Town
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Notts County
League Two | Gameweek 25
Jan 4, 2025 at 12.30pm UK
Meadow Lane Stadium
Swindon Town

Notts County
2 - 0
Swindon

McGoldrick (17', 36')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Kilkenny (29'), Delaney (58'), Clarke (82'), Wright (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Notts County and Swindon Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Notts County 1-2 Walsall
Wednesday, January 1 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Swindon 3-2 Colchester
Wednesday, January 1 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Notts County 2-2 Swindon Town

While Notts County and Swindon are at opposite ends of the table, the hosts have won just 50% of their 10 fixtures on home turf, while the visitors have notched one win from 13 road matches, albeit playing a league-high seven away draws. Despite the Magpies' tag as favourites, Saturday's encounter could see both sides share the spoils in a high-scoring draw in the East Midlands. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 51.27%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 26.13% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.05%) and 2-0 (7.52%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 1-2 (6.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Notts County would win this match.

Result
Notts CountyDrawSwindon Town
51.27% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01) 22.6% (0.00099999999999767 0) 26.13% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Both teams to score 60.96% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.84% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)39.16% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.51% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)61.49% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Notts County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.55%15.44% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.71%44.29%
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.09% (0.010999999999996 0.01)27.9% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.48% (0.014000000000003 0.01)63.52% (-0.012 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Notts County 51.27%
    Swindon Town 26.13%
    Draw 22.59%
Notts CountyDrawSwindon Town
2-1 @ 9.6% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-0 @ 8.05% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 7.52% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 5.98%
3-0 @ 4.68% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 3.81% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 2.79%
4-0 @ 2.19% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 1.78%
5-1 @ 1.04%
Other @ 3.84%
Total : 51.27%
1-1 @ 10.27%
2-2 @ 6.13% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-0 @ 4.31% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-3 @ 1.62% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 22.59%
1-2 @ 6.56% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-1 @ 5.5%
0-2 @ 3.51% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-3 @ 2.79% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-3 @ 2.61% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 1.49% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 3.67%
Total : 26.13%

How you voted: Notts County vs Swindon

Notts County
57.1%
Draw
19.0%
Swindon Town
23.8%
21
Head to Head
Aug 31, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 4
Swindon
1-2
Notts County
Kilkenny (21')
McGoldrick (30', 80')
McGoldrick (69')
Mar 29, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 41
Swindon
2-1
Notts County
Drinan (19'), Glatzel (73')
Aguiar (23'), Kokolo (72'), Blake-Tracy (90+1')
Jatta (90+2')
Oct 3, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 11
Notts County
3-1
Swindon
McGoldrick (10'), Langstaff (35' pen.), Crowley (37')
Bostock (12'), O'Brien (83'), Jones (90+1')
Shade (49')
Shade (56'), Hepburn-Murphy (72')
May 4, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 46
Swindon
3-1
Notts County
Woolery (69'), Robinson (74', 92')
Doughty (38')
Hemmings (52' pen.)
Oct 27, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 16
Notts County
1-2
Swindon
Hemmings (40')
Hewitt (43'), Milsom (55'), Stead (65')
Alzate (65'), Turley (80' og.)
McCourt (15'), Nelson (43'), Knoyle (90'), Adebayo (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall23164343202352
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe24119433221142
3Salford City24126629191042
4Port Vale2511862925441
5AFC Wimbledon23124735191640
6Notts County24117638261240
7Doncaster RoversDoncaster2511773530540
8Bradford CityBradford2410863327638
9Grimsby Town25121123640-437
10Chesterfield249783829934
11MK Dons2310493631534
12Bromley2481063530534
13Cheltenham TownCheltenham248793436-231
14Gillingham2393112224-230
15BarrowBarrow2477102326-328
16Fleetwood TownFleetwood226972828027
17Colchester UnitedColchester2451272828027
18Newport CountyNewport2375113040-1026
19Accrington StanleyAccrington2367103240-825
20Tranmere RoversTranmere2367101732-1525
21Harrogate TownHarrogate2574142137-1625
22Swindon TownSwindon2559113141-1024
23Morecambe2455142239-1720
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2446141938-1918


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