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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 53.51%. A draw has a probability of 24% and a win for Swindon Town has a probability of 22.52%.
The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.72%) and 2-0 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.39%), while for a Swindon Town win it is 0-1 (6.68%).
Result | ||
AFC Wimbledon | Draw | Swindon Town |
53.51% ( 0.22) | 23.97% ( -0.07) | 22.52% ( -0.16) |
Both teams to score 52.24% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.19% ( 0.11) | 48.81% ( -0.1) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.09% ( 0.1) | 70.91% ( -0.1) |
AFC Wimbledon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.83% ( 0.13) | 18.17% ( -0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.84% ( 0.21) | 49.15% ( -0.21) |
Swindon Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.84% ( -0.09) | 36.16% ( 0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.05% ( -0.09) | 72.94% ( 0.09) |
Score Analysis |
AFC Wimbledon | Draw | Swindon Town |
1-0 @ 11.2% 2-1 @ 9.72% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 9.56% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 5.53% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 5.43% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.81% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.36% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 2.32% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.2% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.39% Total : 53.5% | 1-1 @ 11.39% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.57% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.94% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 0.95% ( 0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 23.97% | 0-1 @ 6.68% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 5.8% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 3.4% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 1.97% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.68% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.84% Total : 22.52% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 19 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 35 | 19 | 16 | 40 |
2 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 31 | 24 | 7 | 36 |
3 | Port Vale | 20 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 26 | 19 | 7 | 36 |
4 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 20 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 35 |
5 | AFC Wimbledon | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 31 | 16 | 15 | 33 |
6 | Chesterfield | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 35 | 23 | 12 | 31 |
7 | Grimsby Town | 20 | 10 | 1 | 9 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 31 |
8 | MK Dons | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 30 |
9 | Gillingham | 20 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 30 |
10 | Bradford CityBradford | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 28 |
11 | Notts County | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 28 |
12 | Salford City | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 27 |
13 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 29 | 30 | -1 | 27 |
14 | BarrowBarrow | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 26 |
15 | Bromley | 19 | 5 | 9 | 5 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 24 |
16 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 20 | 4 | 11 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 23 |
17 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 24 | 25 | -1 | 23 |
18 | Newport CountyNewport | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 23 |
19 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 20 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 17 | 30 | -13 | 21 |
20 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 21 |
21 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 26 | 34 | -8 | 19 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 20 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 16 |
23 | Morecambe | 20 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 19 | 36 | -17 | 14 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 19 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 32 | -17 | 14 |
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