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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 53.59%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Swindon Town had a probability of 22.38%.
The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.71%) and 2-0 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.42%), while for a Swindon Town win it was 0-1 (6.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
AFC Wimbledon | Draw | Swindon Town |
53.59% ( 0.08) | 24.03% ( 0.05) | 22.38% ( -0.13) |
Both teams to score 51.91% ( -0.33) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.83% ( -0.35) | 49.16% ( 0.35) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.77% ( -0.32) | 71.23% ( 0.32) |
AFC Wimbledon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.72% ( -0.1) | 18.27% ( 0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.67% ( -0.17) | 49.33% ( 0.17) |
Swindon Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.51% ( -0.32) | 36.48% ( 0.32) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.73% ( -0.33) | 73.27% ( 0.32) |
Score Analysis |
AFC Wimbledon | Draw | Swindon Town |
1-0 @ 11.33% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 9.71% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.63% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 5.5% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 5.46% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.77% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 2.34% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 2.32% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.18% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.35% Total : 53.59% | 1-1 @ 11.42% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 6.67% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 4.9% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.02% | 0-1 @ 6.72% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 5.76% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 3.39% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.94% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.65% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.79% Total : 22.38% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 28 | 18 | 5 | 5 | 54 | 30 | 24 | 59 |
2 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 29 | 15 | 7 | 7 | 42 | 32 | 10 | 52 |
3 | Notts County | 28 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 45 | 28 | 17 | 50 |
4 | AFC Wimbledon | 27 | 14 | 6 | 7 | 39 | 20 | 19 | 48 |
5 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 29 | 12 | 12 | 5 | 36 | 25 | 11 | 48 |
6 | Port Vale | 28 | 13 | 9 | 6 | 35 | 29 | 6 | 48 |
7 | Bradford CityBradford | 28 | 13 | 8 | 7 | 38 | 28 | 10 | 47 |
8 | Salford City | 28 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 33 | 26 | 7 | 44 |
9 | Grimsby Town | 29 | 13 | 3 | 13 | 40 | 45 | -5 | 42 |
10 | Chesterfield | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 43 | 32 | 11 | 39 |
11 | MK Dons | 28 | 11 | 5 | 12 | 42 | 40 | 2 | 38 |
12 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 37 | 39 | -2 | 38 |
13 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 28 | 8 | 13 | 7 | 33 | 29 | 4 | 37 |
14 | Swindon TownSwindon | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 43 | 44 | -1 | 37 |
15 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 37 | 35 | 2 | 36 |
16 | Bromley | 28 | 8 | 11 | 9 | 36 | 37 | -1 | 35 |
17 | Gillingham | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 25 | 29 | -4 | 32 |
18 | BarrowBarrow | 28 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 27 | 32 | -5 | 31 |
19 | Newport CountyNewport | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 35 | 46 | -11 | 30 |
20 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 30 | 8 | 6 | 16 | 25 | 41 | -16 | 30 |
21 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 29 |
22 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 28 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 21 | 46 | -25 | 26 |
23 | Morecambe | 28 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 26 | 44 | -18 | 23 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 28 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 22 | 46 | -24 | 21 |
> League Two Full Table |