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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Swindon Town
League Two | Gameweek 4
Aug 31, 2024 at 3pm UK
County Ground
Notts County

Swindon
1 - 2
Notts County

Kilkenny (21')
FT(HT: 1-1)
McGoldrick (30', 80')
McGoldrick (69')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Swindon Town and Notts County.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Crewe 0-0 Swindon
Saturday, August 24 at 12.30pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 41.29%. A win for Notts County had a probability of 35.12% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.09%) and 2-0 (5.82%). The likeliest Notts County win was 1-2 (7.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 8% likelihood.

Result
Swindon TownDrawNotts County
41.29% (-0.256 -0.26) 23.6% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01) 35.12% (0.271 0.27)
Both teams to score 62.68% (0.106 0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.83% (0.11199999999999 0.11)39.17% (-0.104 -0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.5% (0.117 0.12)61.5% (-0.111 -0.11)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.67% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)19.33% (0.07 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.91% (-0.111 -0.11)51.09% (0.116 0.12)
Notts County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.69% (0.19699999999999 0.2)22.31% (-0.191 -0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.23% (0.291 0.29)55.77% (-0.285 -0.28)
Score Analysis
    Swindon Town 41.29%
    Notts County 35.12%
    Draw 23.6%
Swindon TownDrawNotts County
2-1 @ 8.74% (-0.032 -0.03)
1-0 @ 7.09% (-0.050999999999999 -0.05)
2-0 @ 5.82% (-0.055 -0.05)
3-1 @ 4.79% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-2 @ 3.59%
3-0 @ 3.19% (-0.037 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.97% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.48% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 1.31% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 3.32%
Total : 41.29%
1-1 @ 10.63% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.55% (0.014 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.31% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.8% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 23.6%
1-2 @ 7.98% (0.034 0.03)
0-1 @ 6.47% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 4.85% (0.032 0.03)
1-3 @ 3.99% (0.04 0.04)
2-3 @ 3.28% (0.026 0.03)
0-3 @ 2.43% (0.029 0.03)
1-4 @ 1.5% (0.024 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.23% (0.016 0.02)
0-4 @ 0.91% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 35.12%

Head to Head
Mar 29, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 41
Swindon
2-1
Notts County
Drinan (19'), Glatzel (73')
Aguiar (23'), Kokolo (72'), Blake-Tracy (90+1')
Jatta (90+2')
Oct 3, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 11
Notts County
3-1
Swindon
McGoldrick (10'), Langstaff (35' pen.), Crowley (37')
Bostock (12'), O'Brien (83'), Jones (90+1')
Shade (49')
Shade (56'), Hepburn-Murphy (72')
May 4, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 46
Swindon
3-1
Notts County
Woolery (69'), Robinson (74', 92')
Doughty (38')
Hemmings (52' pen.)
Oct 27, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 16
Notts County
1-2
Swindon
Hemmings (40')
Hewitt (43'), Milsom (55'), Stead (65')
Alzate (65'), Turley (80' og.)
McCourt (15'), Nelson (43'), Knoyle (90'), Adebayo (90')
Dec 30, 2017 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall25184352232958
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe261210434221246
3Port Vale2612863227544
4AFC Wimbledon24134737191843
5Notts County25127641261543
6Doncaster RoversDoncaster2612773630643
7Salford City2512672921842
8Bradford CityBradford2511863427741
9Grimsby Town26122123741-438
10Chesterfield259883930935
11Bromley2581073531434
12MK Dons24104103835334
13Cheltenham TownCheltenham2587103438-431
14Fleetwood TownFleetwood237973028230
15Colchester UnitedColchester2561272928130
16Gillingham2493122225-330
17BarrowBarrow2577112328-528
18Swindon TownSwindon27610113341-828
19Harrogate TownHarrogate2684142337-1428
20Newport CountyNewport2475123243-1126
21Accrington StanleyAccrington2467113243-1125
22Tranmere RoversTranmere2567121839-2125
23Morecambe2555152240-1820
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2546151939-2018


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