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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Swindon Town
League Two | Gameweek 4
Aug 31, 2024 at 3pm UK
County Ground
Notts County

Swindon
1 - 2
Notts County

Kilkenny (21')
FT(HT: 1-1)
McGoldrick (30', 80')
McGoldrick (69')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Swindon Town and Notts County.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Crewe 0-0 Swindon
Saturday, August 24 at 12.30pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 41.29%. A win for Notts County had a probability of 35.12% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.09%) and 2-0 (5.82%). The likeliest Notts County win was 1-2 (7.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 8% likelihood.

Result
Swindon TownDrawNotts County
41.29% (-0.256 -0.26) 23.6% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01) 35.12% (0.271 0.27)
Both teams to score 62.68% (0.106 0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.83% (0.11199999999999 0.11)39.17% (-0.104 -0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.5% (0.117 0.12)61.5% (-0.111 -0.11)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.67% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)19.33% (0.07 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.91% (-0.111 -0.11)51.09% (0.116 0.12)
Notts County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.69% (0.19699999999999 0.2)22.31% (-0.191 -0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.23% (0.291 0.29)55.77% (-0.285 -0.28)
Score Analysis
    Swindon Town 41.29%
    Notts County 35.12%
    Draw 23.6%
Swindon TownDrawNotts County
2-1 @ 8.74% (-0.032 -0.03)
1-0 @ 7.09% (-0.050999999999999 -0.05)
2-0 @ 5.82% (-0.055 -0.05)
3-1 @ 4.79% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-2 @ 3.59%
3-0 @ 3.19% (-0.037 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.97% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.48% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 1.31% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 3.32%
Total : 41.29%
1-1 @ 10.63% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.55% (0.014 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.31% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.8% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 23.6%
1-2 @ 7.98% (0.034 0.03)
0-1 @ 6.47% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 4.85% (0.032 0.03)
1-3 @ 3.99% (0.04 0.04)
2-3 @ 3.28% (0.026 0.03)
0-3 @ 2.43% (0.029 0.03)
1-4 @ 1.5% (0.024 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.23% (0.016 0.02)
0-4 @ 0.91% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 35.12%

Head to Head
Mar 29, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 41
Swindon
2-1
Notts County
Drinan (19'), Glatzel (73')
Aguiar (23'), Kokolo (72'), Blake-Tracy (90+1')
Jatta (90+2')
Oct 3, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 11
Notts County
3-1
Swindon
McGoldrick (10'), Langstaff (35' pen.), Crowley (37')
Bostock (12'), O'Brien (83'), Jones (90+1')
Shade (49')
Shade (56'), Hepburn-Murphy (72')
May 4, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 46
Swindon
3-1
Notts County
Woolery (69'), Robinson (74', 92')
Doughty (38')
Hemmings (52' pen.)
Oct 27, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 16
Notts County
1-2
Swindon
Hemmings (40')
Hewitt (43'), Milsom (55'), Stead (65')
Alzate (65'), Turley (80' og.)
McCourt (15'), Nelson (43'), Knoyle (90'), Adebayo (90')
Dec 30, 2017 3pm
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall19124335191640
2Port Vale2010642619736
3Crewe AlexandraCrewe209832416835
4AFC Wimbledon19103631161533
5Doncaster RoversDoncaster209652823533
6Chesterfield2087535231231
7Grimsby Town2010192730-331
8MK Dons1893630201030
9Gillingham209382218430
10Bradford CityBradford197752419528
11Notts County197752521428
12Salford City197662019127
13Cheltenham TownCheltenham217682930-127
14Bromley195952323024
15Fleetwood TownFleetwood185852423123
16Colchester UnitedColchester2041152322123
17BarrowBarrow196581818023
18Newport CountyNewport196582128-723
19Tranmere RoversTranmere195681426-1221
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2063111730-1321
21Accrington StanleyAccrington194782634-819
22Swindon TownSwindon2037102334-1116
23Morecambe2035121936-1714
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1935111532-1714


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