Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cheltenham Town win with a probability of 46.46%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Scunthorpe United had a probability of 25.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cheltenham Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.26%) and 1-2 (8.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.82%), while for a Scunthorpe United win it was 1-0 (9.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cheltenham Town would win this match.